ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 85 Russia
Pavel Kotov
27 Apr 2024 07:30
ATP 26 Australia
Jordan Thompson

Prediction:

 

Jordan Thompson to Win

+128
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Pavel Kotov vs Jordan Thompson Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

It's Russia vs Australia at the ATP event in the Spanish capital of Madrid on Saturday. Pavel Kotov takes on the higher-ranked Jordan Thompson. Now, the Aussie is currently less fancied than his Russian opponent in the early betting, but I'd argue that the world number 33 should get a little more respect here. Sure, Kotov comes off the back of a good win against Ramos, but this is a much tougher assignment, while Thompson may have lost to Casper Ruud last time out, but losing to the world number six isn't something to be too ashamed of, and we really shouldn't dismiss him on that basis alone.

Pavel Kotov vs Jordan Thompson Form

Pavel Kotov and Jordan Thompson Latest Matches

Pavel Kotov Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 25, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Albert Ramos Vinolas
0 :  2
Pavel Kotov

Apr 15, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Pavel Kotov
1 :  2
Sebastian Ofner

Apr 6, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Pavel Kotov
0 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

Apr 5, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Fabio Fognini
0 :  2
Pavel Kotov

Apr 3, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Pavel Kotov
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

Apr 1, 2024 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Pavel Kotov
2 :  0
Elliot Benchetrit
Jordan Thompson Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 17, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Jordan Thompson
2 :  1
Jaume Munar

Apr 5, 2024 - ATP Houston

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Apr 4, 2024 - ATP Houston

Jordan Thompson
2 :  1
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Apr 2, 2024 - ATP Houston

Jordan Thompson
2 :  0
Yibing Wu

Mar 23, 2024 - ATP Miami

Gael Monfils
2 :  1
Jordan Thompson

Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson Key Points

  1. Jordan Thompson is currently ranked 39 places above Pavel Kotov according to the ATP.
  2. Jordan Thompson has won each of his last three clay-court matches against players ranked below him.
  3. Pavel Kotov has only won one of his last three clay-court matches.
  4. Pavel Kotov has lost each of his last three clay-court matches against players ranked above him.

Our Pavel Kotov vs Jordan Thompson Prediction

Jordan Thompson probably isn't at his brilliant best on clay, but he's no slouch either, as he's shown in recent weeks. At the ATP event on clay in Houston, USA, he got the better of both Kovacevic and Wu, while in Barcelona last week, he beat Spaniard Jaume Munar, which was impressive. A repeat of that display here would likely see him through. OK, he lost to Ruud last time out, but I'm not too put off by that. Ruud is currently one of the best two or three clay-court players on the planet. This is a much easier task. Kotov has a recent habit of losing to players ranked above him, so don't be surprise if the Aussie gets the job done here at nice odds. Our Prediction: Jordan Thompson to Win.

Prediction:

 

Jordan Thompson to Win

+128
$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Pavel Kotov vs Jordan Thompson Picks