ATP - ATP Lyon Open

ATP 85

Pavel Kotov

23 May 2024 09:05

ATP 34

Alexander Bublik

Prediction:

Alexander Bublik to Win

+120

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Pavel Kotov vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Picks - ATP Lyon Open

Prediction published on 5/22/24, 9:10 AM by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 5/22/24 at 9:12 AM in Tennis Picks

On Thursday afternoon in the French city of Lyon, Pavel Kotov and Alexander Bublik will do battle. Having come through that match against Vukic in suprisingly uncomplicated fashion, perhaps we're going to see the best of the divisive yet undoubtedly talented Alexander Bublik at this tournament. The Kazakh player looked in hot form and should now fancy himself to get the better of another lower-ranked player. The question is can he do what he rarely does and deliver his best tennis for a steady period of matches? We'll soon find out.

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Pavel Kotov vs Alexander Bublik Form

Pavel Kotov and Alexander Bublik Latest Matches

Pavel Kotov Latest matches

W L W L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 21, 2024 - ATP Lyon Open

Pavel Kotov

2 : 0

Alexandre Muller

May 20, 2024 - ATP Lyon Open

Pedro Cachin

0 : 2

Pavel Kotov

May 10, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Ben Shelton

2 : 1

Pavel Kotov

May 8, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Pavel Kotov

2 : 0

Alex Michelsen

Apr 29, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner

2 : 0

Pavel Kotov

Apr 27, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Pavel Kotov

2 : 1

Jordan Thompson

Alexander Bublik Latest matches

L W W L L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 21, 2024 - ATP Lyon Open

Aleksandar Vukic

0 : 2

Alexander Bublik

May 10, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Nuno Borges

2 : 0

Alexander Bublik

Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev

2 : 0

Alexander Bublik

Apr 29, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Bublik

2 : 1

Ben Shelton

Apr 27, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Bublik

2 : 1

Roberto Carballes Baena

Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexander Bublik

0 : 2

Borna Ćorić

Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik Key Points

When the pair last met, back in 2019, Alexander Bublik came out on top.
Alexander Bublik is currently ranked 38 places above Pavel Kotov.
Bublik has won two of his last three clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
Pavel Kotov has lost three of his last four clay-court matches against higher-ranked players.

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Our Pavel Kotov vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Pavel Kotov got the job done, after a first-set battle, in rather simple fashion against Alexandre Muller, but this is unoubtedly a step up, even if Bublik turns out to be not at his best. The Russian doesn't have the best record against higher-ranked players either, while despite never being able to fully trust him, Bublik looked in red-hot form against Vukic, showing plenty of his typical swagger, winning with a flourish. If he turns up in the same form here, it's hard to see him coming unstuck, which is why it's a little surprising that the Kazakh player is considered a narrow outsider. I think the early market is pricing this match with Kotov at his best and Bublik at his worst, and the world number 19 looked nowhere near his worst yesterday. We've seen just how capable the 26-year-old is in recent weeks, with him beating the likes of Ben Shelton, so don't be surprised if he upsets the early odds here. Admittedly, it takes a brave man to bet on a player as inconsistent at Bublik, but with what must be considered a generous early price available, I am that brave man. Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik to Win.

Prediction:

Alexander Bublik to Win

+120

$150 offered for betting!

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