ATP - ATP Barcelona


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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Arthur Fils of France will play clay-court savant Pablo Carreno Busta of Spain in the first-round of the 2025 Barcelona Open.
Fils has now reached the quarterfinal of every ATP 1000 tournament this year, pushing him to career high world’s No.14 in the latest ATP ranking update. In Monaco, Fils came a little bit of short of pulling off a major upset on the reigning French Open winner Carlos Alcaraz, losing to the Spaniard in three sets 4-6 7-5 6-3. The Frenchman had also defeated No.7 seed and former Monte Carlo Masters winner Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-3 in the round of 16.
On the other hand, Carreno Busta decided to skip the Monte Carlo Masters to play at the Madrid Challenger, where he reached the quarterfinals before losing to Kamil Majchrzak 6-7(10) 6-4 6-1. Busta, who boasts a 66 percent win rate on the clay, has only won 5 of 9 matches on the red dirt so far this year for 55.6 percent win rate.
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Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Arthur Fils Form
Pablo Carreño-Busta and Arthur Fils Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 12, 2025 - Madrid, Spain
Apr 10, 2025 - Madrid, Spain
Apr 8, 2025 - Madrid, Spain
Apr 3, 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Apr 1, 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Mar 28, 2025 - ATP Challenger Girona, Spain Men Singles
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 27, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 26, 2025 - ATP Miami
Pablo Carreño-Busta - Arthur Fils Key Points
- Arthur Fils reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
- Arthur Fils has 83-52 record on the clay in his career.
- Pablo Carreno Busta reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Madrid Challenger.
- Pablo Carreno Busta has a career 66 percent win rate on the clay.
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Our Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Arthur Fils Prediction
Although this is the first match between Fils and Carreno Busta, I am confident the Frenchman will come through with a straight-set win. The 20-year-old Fils has been a model of consistency this year, reaching the final 8 of the three biggest non-Grand Slam tournaments on the ATP Calendar. Carreno Busta is 19-10 in the season, but he has played plenty of matches on the challenger circuit, a level below the ATP main tour. Our betting prediction for Arthur Fils vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Arthur Fils will cover -4.5 games.
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