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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks - NBA
by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks are set to clash in an exciting cross-conference matchup on Sunday, with both teams playing on the second night of a back-to-back. This highly anticipated showdown will showcase a battle between two MVP frontrunners, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Giannis Antetokounmpo, as both teams look to continue their strong recent form.
This marks the second and final meeting between these teams in the regular season. The Thunder dominated the Bucks in their previous encounter, securing a commanding 125-96 victory. However, Milwaukee was significantly short-handed in that contest, missing key players, including Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. With both superstars back in the lineup, the Bucks are expected to put up a far stronger fight this time around.
Oklahoma City enters this game riding a wave of momentum, having won nine of their last 10 games. Their latest victory came against the Detroit Pistons, a hard-fought 113-107 road win. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also been in excellent form, winning 10 of their last 14 games. They come into this contest on a two-game winning streak after defeating the Indiana Pacers 126-119.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.821 | 67 | 55 | 12 | 2 |
|
4
|
0.576 | 66 | 38 | 28 | 2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NBA
Mar 12, 2025 - NBA
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Mar 5, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 10, 2025 - NBA
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Mar 7, 2025 - NBA
Mar 3, 2025 - NBA
Feb 24, 2025 - NBA
Feb 12, 2025 - NBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NBA
Mar 12, 2025 - NBA
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Feb 28, 2025 - NBA
Feb 26, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NBA
Mar 13, 2025 - NBA
Mar 11, 2025 - NBA
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Mar 8, 2025 - NBA
Mar 5, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 15, 2025 - NBA
Mar 13, 2025 - NBA
Mar 9, 2025 - NBA
Mar 8, 2025 - NBA
Mar 5, 2025 - NBA
Feb 27, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 11, 2025 - NBA
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Mar 1, 2025 - NBA
Feb 25, 2025 - NBA
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Feb 12, 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder against Milwaukee Bucks : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 3, 2025 - NBA
Dec 17, 2024 - NBA
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Nov 9, 2022 - NBA
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks Key Points
- The Thunder are 40-24-4 ATS this season
- The Bucks are 32-33-2 ATS this season
- The Thunder are 12-0 in their last 12 night games vs. Eastern Conference teams
- The Bucks are 1-8 in their last 9 games when home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
Fatigue could play a factor, as both teams are coming off games the previous night. However, the Thunder may have an edge in terms of depth, especially if Jalen Williams remains sidelined. OKC will also benefit from the presence of Chet Holmgren, who provides defensive versatility and could be crucial in containing Antetokounmpo’s inside scoring.
Defensively, the Thunder have been one of the league’s best units, boasting an NBA-best defensive rating of 107.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. They also excel at forcing turnovers, leading the league in turnover percentage (10.4%) and defensive turnover percentage (15.2%). These strengths have made them one of the most consistent teams in covering the spread, as they hold a league-best 42-22-4 ATS record.
Milwaukee’s offensive strategy revolves around its three-point shooting and Giannis’ ability to dominate in the paint. However, given the Thunder’s ability to defend at a high level and their strong recent performances, they appear well-positioned to challenge the Bucks once again. Having already secured a 29-point blowout win over Milwaukee earlier this season, OKC has the tools to come out on top once more. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Thunder to win and cover.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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