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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox (49-40 SU, 41-48 ATS) look to continue their recent surge as they host the Oakland Athletics (34-58 SU, 46-46 ATS). Boston’s biggest problem this season has been its inability to convert its opportunities in front of its own fans. The Red Sox own the second-best road record in the league, with 29 away wins to their name.
But at home, it’s been a different story. Boston actually has a losing record at Fenway Park, which has kept the Red Sox stuck in third place behind Baltimore and New York. The road success might make a difference for Boston in the postseason, but they’ve got to get there first, and that’s not happening without seeing an improved showing at home. Starter Brayan Bello has been a prime example of the Red Sox’s problems on their home field: his 6.21 ERA at Fenway Parkis over a run and a half worse than his performance away from home.
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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
18
|
0.5 | 162 | 81 | 81 |
26
|
0.426 | 162 | 69 | 93 |
Athletics and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Athletics against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
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Athletics - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The Red Sox have won seven of nine against Oakland.
- The Red Sox have covered the spread in six of their past seven games.
- The Athletics have averaged nine runs per game in their past five wins.
- The Athletics have covered in just one of their past nine defeats.
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Our Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Oakland would seemingly be used to the road by now, given that nobody comes to Athletics games. But the A’s have simply been F’s when they have to leave the East Bay. Oakland is just 2-16 in its past 18 road games, including three sweeps in its past four road series.
Sending Joey Estes to the mound isn’t likely to help that situation. It’s hard to find a home/road split more extreme than what Estes has done in 2024. At home, he’s been excellent at preventing runs, posting a 1.91 ERA and giving up just 18 hits in 28.1 innings. On the road, he’s lucky to get Triple-A hitters out, as his ERA is 7.00 and he’s got a WHIP worse than 1.00. Given the Athletics’ weakness, there’s no way the Red Sox can afford to blow this opportunity. Our prediction for Oakland vs. Boston is Red Sox -1.5.
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