ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 33 Portugal
Nuno Borges
10 May 2024 05:00
ATP 34 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik to Win

+135
$1500 offered for betting!

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Nuno Borges vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

At the ATP event in the Italian capital of Rome on Friday, Nuno Borges goes up against Alexander Bublik. The Portuguese player, who has absolutely proved his quality on clay over the last month or so is the early favourite for this one, but as volatile and inconsistent as he is, we really shouldn't understimate Bublik, who has played soem explosive clay-court tennis in the last couple of weeks. Looking at the early lines, the Kazakh player looks generously priced.

Nuno Borges vs Alexander Bublik Form

Nuno Borges and Alexander Bublik Latest Matches

Nuno Borges Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 8, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Nuno Borges
2 :  1
Pedro Martinez

May 3, 2024 - ATP Challenger Cagliari, Italy Men Singles

Nuno Borges
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

May 2, 2024 - ATP Challenger Cagliari, Italy Men Singles

Nuno Borges
2 :  1
Yoshihito Nishioka

May 1, 2024 - ATP Challenger Cagliari, Italy Men Singles

Nuno Borges
2 :  0
Francesco Maestrelli

Apr 24, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jaume Munar
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

Apr 18, 2024 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Nuno Borges
1 :  2
Corentin Moutet
Alexander Bublik Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Apr 29, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Ben Shelton

Apr 27, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Borna Ćorić

Mar 23, 2024 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik Key Points

  1. Bublik took world number three Medvedev to a tie break last week, which shouldn't be overlooked.
  2. Borges has only won 50% of his last six clay-court matches.
  3. Borges doesn't have a great record against players ranked above him.
  4. This will be Bublik's first match at this tournament, while Borges had a very hard match just yesterday.

Our Nuno Borges vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Alexander Bublik is one of the most divisive players on the ATP tour, there's no doubt about that. His talent is undeniable, while his combinationg of sheer style and showmanship is entertaining. Sure, he doesn't win as many matches as he should, but he's a player in solid form right now and when he's hot, he's very hard to beat. Not too many players outside of the top ten can push Medvedev the way Bublik did in Madrid just under a fortnight ago, while he showed his quality when beating world numebr 14 Ben Shelton before that. If we factor in that he's fresh with this being his first match in Rome and couple it with the fact that Borges played a really gruelling, hard-fought three-set match yesterday, it's easy to feel that the Kazakh player, whos is ranked 36 places above his opponent here, is a little underappreciated in the early betting. Therefore, a bet on him to come out on top at odds of +135, offers us some nice value. Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Alexander Bublik to Win

+135
$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nuno Borges vs Alexander Bublik Picks