USA - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
09 Jan 2025 19:30
Penn State Nittany Lions

Prediction:

 

UNDER 45.5

-105
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction & Picks - NCAA

 by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Picks

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will take on the Penn State Nittany Lions Thursday night in the Orange Bowl, the first of two College Football Playoff (CFP) semifinal games. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. Notre Dame opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but that number has since shifted to 2.5 points

Notre Dame will enter the game on a high after shocking the world with a dominant win over Georgia in the quarter-final round. The defense did a stellar job of harassing Gunner Stockton, who was making his first start, and containing the run (29 carries for 66 yards). The Fighting Irish were not too dynamic on offense, though, as they gained just 244 yards. But thanks to solid defense, great special teams, and Georgia miscues, that was more than enough.

However, the Penn State defense is fresh off a game where it held Ashton Jeanty to 3.5 yards per carry and kept him out of the endzone. The Nittany Lions have a pair of running backs that will be more than happy to test the Notre Dame defense over and over again.

This game could end up being smash-mouth football at its finest (and low-scoring).

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Penn State Nittany Lions Form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Penn State Nittany Lions Latest Matches

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 2, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23 :  10
Georgia Bulldogs

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA

Indiana Hoosiers
17 :  27
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Army Black Knights
14 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
14 :  35
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA

Indiana Hoosiers
17 :  27
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Army Black Knights
14 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
14 :  35
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

Stanford Cardinal
7 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
24 :  31
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 2, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23 :  10
Georgia Bulldogs

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51 :  14
Navy Midshipmen

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
31 :  13
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
66 :  7
Purdue Boilermakers

Aug 31, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23 :  13
Texas A&M Aggies
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 31, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
31 :  14
Boise State Broncos

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
10 :  38
Penn State Nittany Lions

Dec 7, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
37 :  45
Oregon Ducks

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Maryland Terrapins
7 :  44
Penn State Nittany Lions

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
26 :  25
Minnesota Golden Gophers

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
49 :  10
Purdue Boilermakers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
10 :  38
Penn State Nittany Lions

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Maryland Terrapins
7 :  44
Penn State Nittany Lions

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Washington Huskies
6 :  35
Penn State Nittany Lions

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Ohio State Buckeyes
20 :  13
Penn State Nittany Lions

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

UCLA Bruins
11 :  27
Penn State Nittany Lions

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Illinois Fighting Illini
7 :  21
Penn State Nittany Lions
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 31, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
31 :  14
Boise State Broncos

Dec 7, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
37 :  45
Oregon Ducks

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
26 :  25
Minnesota Golden Gophers

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
49 :  10
Purdue Boilermakers

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
28 :  13
Wisconsin Badgers

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
33 :  30
USC Trojans

Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions Key Points

  1. Penn State and Notre Dame have played on 19 previous occasions, with each team winning nine (one tie). Penn State won the last meeting in 2009, 31-10.
  2. They have both been ranked in eight prior matchups, with both winning four.
  3. James Franklin has an 8-6 bowl record.
  4. Notre Dame’s record in bowl games is 20-21.

Our Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction

I’m not ready to bite on Penn State after the Nittany Lions handled a Group of Five conference champion. The way they limited Ashton Jeanty was impressive, but Notre Dame has a better offensive line and will not be as easy to overwhelm. At the same time, PSU’s offensive line is not going to lay down, either—especially with the two-headed monster they have running the ball (Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton). This game will end up being a lot like Notre Dame-Georgia, with enough passing to keep defenses honest. But both offenses will focus on establishing the run. That means scoring drives are going to be long. It also means the score is going to be low.

Our Penn State vs. Notre Dame Pick: UNDER 45.5 points

Prediction:

 

UNDER 45.5

-105
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Penn State Nittany Lions Picks