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North Carolina vs San Diego St. Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball
by Matt Lowrimore | in Basketball Picks
The second First Four game on Tuesday will feature the 11th-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels and the 11th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions to help determine the outcome of this First Four matchup between the Tar Heels and Aztecs in the South Region.
North Carolina was one of the surprise teams to make the NCAA tournament field and enter this game with a record of 22-13. The Tar Heels made it to the semifinals of the ACC tournament, beating Notre Dame in the second round and Wake Forest in the quarterfinals before losing to Duke in the semifinals. North Carolina had Duke on the ropes before a lane violation in the final seconds sealed their fate.
On the other side is San Diego State, which enters this game with a record of 21-9. The Aztecs lost in the Mountain West quarterfinals to Boise State, falling 62-52 but still did enough to warrant a bid into the NCAA tournament.
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North Carolina vs San Diego St. Form
North Carolina and San Diego St. Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 19, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 24, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 10, 2025 - NCAA Men
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 18, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 11, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Jan 25, 2025 - NCAA Men
North Carolina - San Diego St. Key Points
- UNC is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games
- UNC is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games
- SDSU is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
- SDSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 March games
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Our North Carolina vs San Diego St. Prediction
For North Carolina, it feels like they are getting a mulligan after how they were eliminated by Duke in the ACC semifinals. The top experts did not have the Tar Heels in the field so this is the chance for North Carolina to prove they belong in the tournament.
The Tar Heels have the advantage in this game offensively, averaging 75.9 points per game compared to San Diego State, which averages 72 points per game. However, the Aztecs have the better defense, allowing 62.2 points per game, compared to the Tar Heels, who allow 74.9 points per game.
North Carolina has been much better recently as well, pushing Duke to the final seconds, while San Diego State limped to the finish with a lackluster performance against Boise State. The Tar Heels still have RJ Davis and a host of other talented players that can take over a game at any time. Because of this and because North Carolina is in better form, our North Carolina Tar Heels vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction is North Carolina -3.5.Grab an extra $200 for your North Carolina vs San Diego St. wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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