New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
4/2/25 16:40
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

-185
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets clash in Wednesday’s rubber-match at loanDepot Park.

After allowing four homers in a 4-10 loss in Game 1, the Marlins evened the series with a terrific defensive showing in Game 2. Sandy Alcantara nabbed his first win since 2023 after conceding two earned runs over five innings in a 4-2 victory. Marlins sluggers Kyle Stowers put Miami ahead early with a two-run blast in the first inning while Graham Pauley added two more runs to the tally with a run-driving double in the fourth inning.

The Mets went 5 for 32 at the plate in Game 2 with Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor driving the two runs for New York. After 6 games, the Mets ranks at No.25 in batting average (.185), 17th in on base percentage (.297) and 21st in slugging percentage (.363).

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams % P W L
12
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.571 7 4 3
14
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.5 6 3 3

New York Mets and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
D L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
6 :  6
New York Mets
L L W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
6 :  6
New York Mets

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
5 :  5
New York Mets

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

St. Louis Cardinals
2 :  3
New York Mets

Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  0
New York Mets

Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
5 :  0
New York Mets
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
10 :  3
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 30, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Miami Marlins
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 30, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Mar 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Miami Marlins
W L D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Houston Astros

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  0
Washington Nationals

Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  6
Houston Astros

Mar 11, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
12 :  5
St. Louis Cardinals

New York Mets against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

83 %

Miami Marlins

17 %

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
10 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
6 :  5
Miami Marlins

Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
7 :  3
Miami Marlins

Mar 3, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
1 :  1
New York Mets

New York Mets - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games played in April.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

Our New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The weather forecast predicts 14-mph winds blowing toward southwestward of loanDepot Park. Connor Gillispie (5.40 ERA in his last 5 starts) and Clay Holmes (6.85 ERA in his last 5 starts) aren’t exactly the type of pitchers who exude dominance from the mound, but they are serviceable enough to keep the other team from scoring a lot of runs. Given the playing conditions in Game 3, I expect a low-scoring ball game with so many foul balls and blown chances. By the way, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games and 2 of Miami’s last 3 games. Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Total Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Total Under 8.5 Runs

-185
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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks