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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins and New York Mets clash in Wednesday’s rubber-match at loanDepot Park.
After allowing four homers in a 4-10 loss in Game 1, the Marlins evened the series with a terrific defensive showing in Game 2. Sandy Alcantara nabbed his first win since 2023 after conceding two earned runs over five innings in a 4-2 victory. Marlins sluggers Kyle Stowers put Miami ahead early with a two-run blast in the first inning while Graham Pauley added two more runs to the tally with a run-driving double in the fourth inning.
The Mets went 5 for 32 at the plate in Game 2 with Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor driving the two runs for New York. After 6 games, the Mets ranks at No.25 in batting average (.185), 17th in on base percentage (.297) and 21st in slugging percentage (.363).
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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
12
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0.571 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
14
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0.5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
New York Mets and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 29, 2025 - MLB
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Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 29, 2025 - MLB
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 30, 2025 - MLB
Mar 29, 2025 - MLB
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 30, 2025 - MLB
Mar 29, 2025 - MLB
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 11, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
New York Mets against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Apr 1, 2025 - MLB
Mar 31, 2025 - MLB
Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 3, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
New York Mets - Miami Marlins Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games played in April.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.
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Our New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The weather forecast predicts 14-mph winds blowing toward southwestward of loanDepot Park. Connor Gillispie (5.40 ERA in his last 5 starts) and Clay Holmes (6.85 ERA in his last 5 starts) aren’t exactly the type of pitchers who exude dominance from the mound, but they are serviceable enough to keep the other team from scoring a lot of runs. Given the playing conditions in Game 3, I expect a low-scoring ball game with so many foul balls and blown chances. By the way, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games and 2 of Miami’s last 3 games. Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Total Under 8.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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