New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
4/20/25 13:40
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-105
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays close out their four-game series on Sunday at George M. Steinbrenner Field, with the Yankees looking to cap off a dominant stretch. Heading into Saturday's matchup, New York held a strong 13-7 record, good for first place in the American League East. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, continued to slide with an 8-12 record, placing them at the bottom of the division.

The Yankees have been one of the more well-rounded teams in the early going, pairing a solid rotation with a lineup that’s capable of putting up runs consistently. They average over five runs per game and hold a team batting average of .260. Leading the charge is superstar Aaron Judge, who’s off to a scorching start. Judge enters the series finale with a .400 average, seven home runs, and 22 RBIs, setting the tone for a Yankees offense that can break open games quickly.

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is in the middle of a serious offensive drought. Despite having a pitching staff that has held its own, the Rays’ offense has been nearly nonexistent, scoring just three runs combined over their last three games. Prior to Saturday, they had lost four straight and were struggling to generate momentum at the plate. Even strong performances from the mound haven’t been enough to offset the lack of production from the lineup.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Table

Teams % P W L
5
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
0.619 21 13 8
21
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
0.429 21 9 12

New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 15, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 13, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  4
New York Yankees
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 15, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 13, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 12, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
4 :  8
New York Yankees

Apr 11, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
9 :  1
New York Yankees
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Apr 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Apr 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Apr 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 14, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  16
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 13, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 14, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  16
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 13, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays
L D L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Apr 6, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Texas Rangers

Apr 5, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  6
Texas Rangers

Apr 4, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  5
Texas Rangers

Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

83 %

Tampa Bay Rays

17 %

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
7 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
7 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Feb 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
0 :  4
New York Yankees

New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. The Yankees are 7–3 in their last 10 games
  2. The Rays are 6–4 in their last 10 games
  3. The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs AL East teams when underdogs
  4. The Rays are 1-13 covering the run line in their last 14 games vs. AL East teams

Our New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

New York’s current form gives them a significant edge. They came into the weekend riding a five-game winning streak and have now taken the last three meetings against Tampa. While the Rays typically boast solid pitching depth, the cold bats continue to drag them down, and they’ve shown little sign of breaking out of the slump.

Oddsmakers have the total for Sunday’s game set at nine runs, a slight bump from the previous matchup. However, considering the Rays' recent offensive struggles and the Yankees’ relative scoring consistency, especially in close, low-scoring games, there’s a case to be made for the under. New York has scored more than four runs in just two of their last ten games, which adds to the likelihood of another tight contest.

Given the current trends, backing the Yankees—especially at plus money—offers value. They’re the hotter team, performing with confidence, while the Rays continue searching for answers. Until Tampa’s offense shows signs of life, New York is the smart pick to finish the series strong. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: Yankees to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-105
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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks