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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The New York Mets and Houston Astros will wrap up their season-opening three-game series in Houston tonight at Daiken Park in Houston, TX. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EST. Fans can catch the action on Fox.
Right-hander Griffin Canning is scheduled to take the mound for the Mets. It’s his first year in New York after spending 2019-2024 with the Angels. In 95 career starts, he has a 25-34 record, an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.33, and 2.6 K/BB. He started 31 games for the Angels last season and went 6-13. However, the Astros he has faced have done well against him, hitting .307 and slugging .557 with an OPS of .921 with six home runs. Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti will take the mound for the Astros. Last season was his first in the majors with Houston. He ended up playing in 29 games, starting 28, and going 7-13 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and 2.6 K/BB. Opponents hit .250 against him, slugged .424, and had an OPS of .758. Arrighetti gave up 139 hits, including 21 home runs.
Houston was 46-35 at home last season; the Mets were 43-38 on the road.
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New York Mets vs Houston Astros Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
8
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0.667 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
20
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0.333 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
New York Mets and Houston Astros Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
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Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
Mar 25, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 19, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 13, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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New York Mets against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 28, 2025 - MLB
Mar 27, 2025 - MLB
Mar 19, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Mar 6, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
New York Mets - Houston Astros Key Points
- Houston leads the all-time series vs. the Mets (regular season and playoffs) 323-267-1.
- Houston won the season series last year, 2-1.
- The Mets went 4-3 vs. Houston in spring training.
- The Mets have not won a season series vs. Houston since 2014.
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Our New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction
Each team has won one game in the series by the same 3-1 score. The Mets have recorded 11 hits, Houston ten. There are several things to factor into a prediction for this game: Houston’s homerun-friendly park, Juan Soto, Canning’s history against the Astros, and Arrighetti giving up 21 homeruns last season. The first two games were quiet, but I think both offenses will explode in this game. As for who wins—I’m going to say Houston, but that’s not how I’m betting.
Our Mets vs. Astros Pick: OVER 8.5
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