Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
3/21/25 14:50
Duke

Prediction:

 

Mount St. Mary's +31.5

-105
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks

The first round of the NCAA tournament continues on Friday as the 16th-seeded Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers take on the #1-seeded Duke Blue Devils in the East Region. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this first-round game between the Mountaineers and Blue Devils.

Mount St. Mary’s enters this game with a record of 23-12. They are coming off a win on Wednesday night, beating American in the Four Four to advance to the first round of the NCAA tournament. Further, the win on Wednesday night was their first-ever NCAA tournament win in program history.

As for Duke, they enter this game with a record of 31-3, earning an automatic bid into the NCAA tournament by winning the ACC tournament. The Blue Devils beat Georgia Tech in the ACC quarterfinals, North Carolina in the ACC semifinals and Louisville in the ACC final. This will be Duke’s 47th NCAA tournament appearance and their fourth consecutive appearance.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Form

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Duke Latest Matches

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
83 :  72
American Eagles

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
63 :  49
Iona Gaels

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
57 :  55
Merrimack Warriors

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
62 :  58
Marist Red Foxes

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Marist Red Foxes
52 :  62
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
70 :  79
Quinnipiac Bobcats
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Marist Red Foxes
52 :  62
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Siena Saints
79 :  85
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Men

Rider Broncs
72 :  79
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Feb 21, 2025 - NCAA Men

Saint Peter's Peacocks
58 :  69
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Feb 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iona Gaels
70 :  67
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Jan 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Manhattan Jaspers
74 :  64
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
83 :  72
American Eagles

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
63 :  49
Iona Gaels

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
57 :  55
Merrimack Warriors

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
62 :  58
Marist Red Foxes

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
70 :  79
Quinnipiac Bobcats

Feb 28, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
62 :  69
Fairfield Stags
Duke
Duke Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Louisville Cardinals
62 :  73
Duke

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
71 :  74
Duke

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
70 :  78
Duke

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
82 :  69
North Carolina

Mar 3, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
60 :  93
Duke

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Florida State Seminoles
65 :  100
Duke
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Louisville Cardinals
62 :  73
Duke

Mar 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
71 :  74
Duke

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
70 :  78
Duke

Mar 3, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
60 :  93
Duke

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Florida State Seminoles
65 :  100
Duke

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Illinois
67 :  110
Duke
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
82 :  69
North Carolina

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
97 :  60
Miami Hurricanes

Feb 17, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
80 :  62
Virginia Cavaliers

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
71 :  77
Clemson

Feb 5, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
83 :  54
Syracuse Orange

Jan 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
63 :  56
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers - Duke Key Points

  1. Mount St. Mary's is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games
  2. Mount St. Mary's is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games as an underdog
  3. Mount St. Mary's 5-0 ATS in their last 5 March games
  4. Duke is 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games

Our Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Prediction

Duke is the overwhelming favorite with a spread so large that backing them is not worth the risk. Because of that, we will be looking at Mount St. Mary’s to cover. The Mountaineers have already played a game in this tournament so at the very least, they have already had some game experience. Not only did they beat American by double digits but they were extremely efficient from the field, shooting 57.7% and 40.9% from the three-point line.

Secondly, Duke superstar, Cooper Flagg is expected to make his return in this game after missing multiple games in the ACC tournament with an injury. You have to consider the fact that Flagg may not be 100% healthy and therefore, may not dominant as much as he is expected to. 

Even though this game looks to be a clear mismatch, it is still the first game of the tournament for Duke. The Blue Devils should win and win big but asking them to win by 30+ points is simply too much. For that reason, our Mount St. Mary’s vs Duke Blue Devils prediction is Mount St. Mary’s +31.5.

Prediction:

 

Mount St. Mary's +31.5

-105
$200 offered for betting!

Jackpot Pools

DK Jackpot Pools

DraftKings's long-running promo Jackpot Pools gives bettors a chance to win a whopping $10,000 which grows with every entry! 

To win, you'll need to answer all 15 questions correctly and the pool is yours! If there are multiple winners, the pool will be split. If no one wins, however, the jackpot rolls over to the next pool, increasing the winnings. You can enter up to 10 times each pool to give yourself an even greater chance of winning. Once the event has completed, you can collect your winnings within 24 hours so keep an eye on the pool! Don't miss out on your chance to win big and make your picks today!

Get started today!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Picks