Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg Prediction & Picks - UFC

Prediction published on 5/3/24, 12:41 AM by Stephen Abiola | Modified on 5/3/24 at 3:47 AM in MMA Picks

The UFC 301 fight card will feature Brazilian Alexandre Pantoja taking on Australian Steve Erceg for the UFC flyweight title in Rio, Brazil. This match could be the second successful title defense in the 34-year-old’s reign. The former Uber Eats driver defeated Brandon Moreno in July last year to become the flyweight belt champion before successfully retaining the title against Brando Royval. Erceg presents an exciting challenge to the title after winning all three previous battles in the promotion. He now has his work cut out against the UFC veteran, who dropped only three of his last 14 UFC contests. Pantoja is the -186 betting favorite against Erceg’s +150 underdog odds

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Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg Key Points

Pantoja and Erceg are currently on five and three UFC winning streaks, respectively
Pantoja has a record of delivering 4.32 significant strikes every minute while absorbing 3.90
Pantoja has an average of 2.20 takedowns per every 15 minutes
Erceg has averaged 4.57 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.64

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Our Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg Prediction

Both of these fighters are in hot form coming into this matchup. Pantoja has a 27-5 record, including the convincing win over Royval in December. Despite being the apparent underdog, Erceg is currently 3-0 in the UFC and 12-1 overall. He doesn’t have much UFC experience, so we expect him to jump out of the gates in Rio and probably surprise Pantoja. He must avoid Pantoja’s jiu-jitsu skills and deliver his killer strikes to get something out of this contest. It’s a matchup between the grappler and the striker, with the former holding a slight advantage. Our prediction for Pantoja vs Erceg: Pantoja to win and retain his flyweight belt.

Prediction:

Pantoja to win and retain his flyweight belt

-192

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Up to $150 to bet on Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg!

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel