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Missouri Tigers vs Florida Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men
by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Men Picks
The No. 21 Missouri Tigers (22-10, 10-8) will take on the No. 4 Florida Gators (27-4, 14-4) tonight in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals starting at 7 p.m. ET with coverage via the SEC Network. Florida is an 8.5-point favorite, even though Missouri beat them in Gainesville.
With how Missouri limped down the stretch run of the regular season, going 1-4 in their last five, their 85-73 win over Mississippi State in the second round of the Tournament was a bit surprising. The Tigers led by five at the break and held the lead for much of the second half but didn’t pull away until the last minute and a half. Missouri outrebounded Mississippi State 43-35 (34-21 on the defensive boards). As for Florida, the Gators had a strong finish to the regular season with three consecutive wins: a 17-point win over Texas A&M, a 99-94 win over Alabama in Tuscaloosa, and a 21-point victory against Ole Miss. The game vs. Missouri was basically a tale of two halves, with the Tigers getting out to a 50-34 lead at the break. Florida made a valiant comeback effort in the second half (48-33) but fell short in the end (83-82).
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Missouri Tigers vs Florida Form
Missouri Tigers and Florida Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
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Missouri Tigers against Florida : Head to Head (H2H)
Jan 14, 2025 - NCAA Men
Missouri Tigers - Florida Key Points
- Since 2013, Missouri and Florida have played 16 times; the Tigers have won 11.
- Florida was 5-2 against ranked teams this year, while Missouri was 5-4.
- Florida was 13-5 ATS in conference play, while Missouri was 13-6 ATS.
- The OVER was 11-8 for Missouri in conference games and 9-9 for Florida.
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Our Missouri Tigers vs Florida Prediction
Missouri can match up with Florida; we have already seen proof of that. The Tigers did have some issues down the stretch, and fatigue could play a role as well. But what we do know is this— this team can score some points, as can the Gators (both are top ten offenses in the nation, after all). If I were to pick a winner, I’d go with Missouri and the points; the last one was close, and we’ve seen several tight games this week. But we have two high-powered offenses in this game. The score will be high.
Our Missouri vs. Florida Pick: OVER 162.5
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