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Mirra Andreeva vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells
by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
For the second time in three weeks, Mirra Andreeva of Russia will go head-to-head with Iga Swiatek of Poland on Friday, where at stake is a place in the final of the 2025 Indian Wells Open. Andreeva continues to prove she’s the next big thing in women’s tennis after punching her ticket to the semifinal round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open, her second straight final four appearance in a WTA 1000 event. Andreeva displayed composure and elite-level skills to outclass a more seasoned Elina Svitolina in their quarterfinal duel, 7-5 6-3. The win gave the Russian teen her fourth consecutive straight-set victory after she also dismantled Varvara Gracheva, Clara Tauson and Elena Rybakina in the previous rounds. Like Andreeva, Swiatek has been too fast, too strong and too good for the opponents she faced in this tournament. The former world’s No.1 also hasn’t dropped a set yet and has been broken only three times out of 30 service turns. In her recent victory of Zheng Qinwen 6-3, 6-3, Swiatek won 76 percent of his first serves and converted all five breakpoint chances to seize full control.
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Mirra Andreeva vs Iga Swiatek Form
Mirra Andreeva and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 13, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 11, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 22, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 21, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 13, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 11, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 20, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 19, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Mirra Andreeva against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Feb 20, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Aug 17, 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek: Form Analysis
Mirra Andreeva hasn’t dropped a set in this competition. She defeated Varvara Gracheva 7-5, 6-4, Clara Tauson 6-3, 6-0, Elena Rybakina 6-1, 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 7-5, 6-3 to reach the semis of the Indian Wells Open for the first time in her career.
Andreeva has held 83 percent of her serves and converted 53 percent of breakpoint chances (21/40).
Meanwhile, Swiatek demolished Caroline Garcia 6-2, 6-0, Dayana Yastremska 6-0, 6-2, Karolina Muchova 6-1. 6-1 and Zheng Qinwen 6-3, 6-3 to keep her bid for a third straight Indian Wells Open title alive. Again, Swiatek has only yielded three service breaks in this tournament and scored 21 of 36 breakpoint opportunities.
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Mirra Andreeva & Iga Swiatek Squad Analysis
Andreeva has shown no signs of fatigue or fitness issues throughout this run at Indian Wells. The girl is just 17 years old, yet she’s going toe-to-toe and winning over some of the most experienced and battle-tested players on the WTA tour.
Swiatek is also in tip-top shape and ready to face Andreeva for the second time in three weeks.
Expect Swiatek to go for the jugular as she tries to avenge her earlier loss to Andreeva in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Dubai Championship. The Pole had also been on a roll in Dubai, winning her first two matches dominantly until he ran into Andreeva, who beat her for the first time 6-3 6-3.
Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Mirra Andreeva defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
- Mirra Andreeva is on a 10-match win streak.
- Iga Swiatek defeated Zheng Qinwen 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
- Iga Swiatek is 1-1 in her head-to-head series with Mirra Andreeva.
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Our Mirra Andreeva vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Call me a fool, but I am backing Mirra Andreeva to win over Swiatek again. The Russian teen sensation has been on fire, riding on momentum from her title-clinching campaign in Dubai to the hard courts of Indian Wells. If you watched how she surgically defeated Swiatek in the quarterfinal at Dubai, you would say that Andreeva has a game that can neutralize Swiatek’s aggressive playing style. I wouldn’t say it will be a straight-set win for Andreeva. Swiatek would not allow herself to lose the same way as she did three weeks ago. She will do everything in her power to exact her revenge on Andreeva and reach the final of the Indian Wells, where she will get a chance to set a date with destiny by becoming the first women’s singles player to win the tournament for three consecutive years. Sadly for her, Andreeva is here to spoil the fun for her, laying the groundwork for a new, exciting rivalry in women’s tennis. Our betting prediction for Mirra Andreeva vs. Iga Swiatek: Andreeva will win.
Mirra Andreeva vs Iga Swiatek - Other Interesting Picks
Mirra Andreeva will win 2-1
This will be a three-set match. Andreeva and Swiatek have had an easy time so far in this tournament, but the real test for both will happen on Friday when they play each other for the third time. Both players are serving well, with Mirra holding 83 percent of her serves and Iga scoring 90 percent of her serves. I expect Swiatek to come out of the gates firing from all cylinders, surging to a big lead to secure the first set in under 30 minutes. Calm and collected as she has been in the last 10 matches, Andreeva will respond with a better play in the second frame to level the score at 1-1. The Russian raised up the intensity even higher in the third set until Swiatek can no longer hold off the pressure, Our betting prediction for Mirra Andreeva vs. Iga Swiatek: Andreeva will win 2-1.
Over 22.5 Games
Since it’s going to be a three-set showdown in my book. I am picking Over 22.5 games. Andreeva and Swiatek are too good to settle their score in a two-set match, I am calling it now. This is going to be the most memorable women’s singles semifinal match at Indian Wells Open in recent years. Swiatek seeks revenge. Andreeva has something to prove. It’s an all-out war on Friday. Our betting prediction for Mirra Andreeva vs. Iga Swiatek: Over 22.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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