USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
07 Jun 2024 22:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Lynx -4.5

-110
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

 by Carlos Zabala | in WNBA Picks

Lynx started the season playing great basketball. They are 1st in the Western Conference with a 7-2 record. They face Mercury whom they have historically dominated absolutely. Not only have the Lynx beaten Mercury in 9 of the last 10 games, but they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games as well. Lynx and Mercury played their first game of 2024 on May 31 and history repeated itself, Lynk won 95-71 and the odds had put them as favorites for that game by 6.5 points. Minnesota's offense has been the best in the WNBA so far this year. They are 2nd in Points, 1st in FG% and 1st in 3P%. Napheesa Collier is putting up spectacular numbers in 2024, entering the Top 5 of the WNBA in Points per game, Rebounds per game and Steals per game. Mercury has had a neither good nor bad season, but one aspect of the game where they have delicate flaws is in FG%, where they are last in the WNBA with 39.4. Mercury has an important active negative streak and they have a record of 0-8 ATS when they play on Fridays.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
0.75 40 30 10 -1
4
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.475 40 19 21 -1

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 5, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  62
L.a. Sparks

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  87
Minnesota Lynx

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
80 :  66
Minnesota Lynx

May 26, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
92 :  79
Atlanta Dream

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
67 :  84
Minnesota Lynx
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  87
Minnesota Lynx

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
80 :  66
Minnesota Lynx

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
67 :  84
Minnesota Lynx

May 17, 2024 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
93 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 9, 2023 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
113 :  89
Minnesota Lynx
L W W L W W
Victories

4/5 (80%)

Defeats

1/5 (20%)

Jun 5, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  62
L.a. Sparks

May 26, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
92 :  79
Atlanta Dream

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  83
Connecticut Sun

May 14, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  70
Seattle Storm

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  76
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 4, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
62 :  80
Seattle Storm

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
68 :  87
Phoenix Mercury

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  81
New York Liberty

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
47 :  70
Connecticut Sun

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
107 :  92
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
68 :  87
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
107 :  92
Phoenix Mercury

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
80 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

May 18, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
85 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2023 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
63 :  85
Phoenix Mercury
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 4, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
62 :  80
Seattle Storm

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  81
New York Liberty

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
47 :  70
Connecticut Sun

May 21, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  88
Las Vegas Aces

May 14, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

100 %

Phoenix Mercury

0 %

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
C. Williams K. McBride B. Carleton A. Smith N. Collier
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
B. Griner D. Taurasi N. Cloud R. Allen K. Copper

Substitutes

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
O. Epoupa D. Miller N. Hiedeman C. Zandalasini A. Pili S. Kone D. Juhasz
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack S. Sutton S. Cunningham M. Bertsch L. Dixon M. Harrigan

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Lynx have covered the spread in 5 of their last 5 road games
  2. Lynx are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Phoenix
  3. no Mercury player in the WNBA top 5 in any category
  4. Collier comes from scoring 25 points with 9 rebounds and 3 assists against Sparks

Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The Mercury offense has had a major recent slump. Mercury's low FG% didn't even allow them to compete against Seattle on Tuesday. Mercury have one more day of rest than the Lynx, but this hasn't made much of a difference and the odds around -215 for the Lynx seem to lean even more towards the favorites as match time approaches. When Lynx wins it also tends to cover the spread. The Lynx have won by more than 4.5 points, today's spread, over Mercury in their last 4 matchups, including one in Phoenix. Our prediction for Lynx vs Mercury is: Lynx -4.5, -110 at FanDuel.

Prediction:

 

Lynx -4.5

-110
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks