Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks
A spot in the Coppa Italia final will be decided in this two-leg showdown between the two Milan giants. AC Milan and Inter Milan have already faced off three times this season, with the Rossoneri holding the edge in head-to-head matchups—securing two wins in Serie A and the Supercoppa Italiana (2-1 and 3-2) along with one draw in the league (1-1).
The Nerazzurri will be determined to turn things around and have two matches to even the score. As they battle Napoli for another Scudetto, Serie A leaders Inter Milan are also eyeing a domestic double—and possibly a treble with the Champions League still in play. To achieve that, they must first eliminate their historic rival and then defeat the winner of the Empoli vs. Bologna semifinal.
AC Milan, on the other hand, has already "saved" its season by winning the Supercoppa Italiana against Inter. However, their league campaign has been a disappointment, as they currently sit ninth in the standings. Lifting the Coppa Italia—and securing a second trophy—could help ease the frustration of missing out on Champions League qualification.
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AC Milan vs Inter Milan Form
AC Milan and Inter Milan Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 5, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 25, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 10, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 16, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A
AC Milan against Inter Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 6, 2025 - Super Cup
Sep 22, 2024 - Serie A
Apr 22, 2024 - Serie A
Sep 16, 2023 - Serie A
May 16, 2023 - Champions League
AC Milan - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Eliminated in the Champions League playoffs by Dutch club Feyenoord and struggling in the league (9th place), AC Milan is placing a lot of hope in the Coppa Italia to salvage a lackluster 2024-2025 season. To reach the semifinals, the Rossoneri defeated Sassuolo (6-1) and Roma (3-1) in the previous rounds. However, Conceição’s squad is going through a rough patch, having lost four of their last six league matches. Since February 22, Theo Hernandez and his teammates have suffered defeats against Torino (2-1) and Bologna (2-1) on the road, as well as against Lazio (1-2) and Napoli (2-1) this past weekend.
Inter are on a Five-Game Winning Streak
Inter Milan, on the other hand, is still competing on three fronts: the Champions League, where they have a quarterfinal clash against Bayern Munich; Serie A, where they lead Napoli by a narrow three-point margin; and the Coppa Italia. Having eliminated Udinese (2-0) and Lazio (2-0) in this tournament, Inter enters the semifinals as the favorite thanks to their strong form. Simone Inzaghi’s squad has now won five straight matches, including a 2-1 victory over Udinese this past weekend. Prior to that, they secured back-to-back wins over Feyenoord (0-2 and 2-1) in the Champions League, as well as triumphs against Monza (3-2) and Atalanta in Bergamo (0-2).
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AC Milan against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
Emerson
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
ForwardL. Martinez
AC Milan & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Milan will have almost a full squad available for their showdown against Inter this Wednesday, with only one absence: Emerson Royal (calf). Meanwhile, Pulisic (9 goals, 6 assists in Serie A), Reijnders (9 goals, 3 assists), and Leão (6 goals, 7 assists) will pose significant threats to Inter’s defense. Santiago Giménez, who arrived this winter from Feyenoord, has struggled to find his rhythm and impact so far. The Mexican international has managed just 3 goals and 2 assists in 11 official matches for the Rossoneri.
Winning Return for Dimarco with Two Assists
Lautaro Martínez, who suffered a muscle injury while on duty with Argentina, might miss the first leg of this semifinal, though nothing has been officially confirmed yet. However, Carboni (knee), Dumfries (thigh), Taremi (muscle injury), and Zieliński (calf) are ruled out and will miss this Milan derby. French international Marcus Thuram will lead the attack, having scored 16 goals this season, including 2 in his last 5 appearances. Meanwhile, defender Federico Dimarco made a strong return from injury, providing 2 assists in Inter’s 2-1 win over Udinese this past weekend. A key player in Inter’s attacking play, the Italian international has been highly productive this season, with 4 goals and 8 assists across all competitions.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Inter Milan
C. Pulisic
(13 Goals)
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
R. Leao
(8 Assists)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
AC Milan - Inter Milan Key Points
- AC Milan has lost 4 of its last 6 matches.
- Inter Milan is unbeaten in its last 8 games across all competitions (7 wins, 1 draw).
- Inter is on a 5-game winning streak, including Serie A and the Champions League.
- Inter has won 6 of the last 9 Milan derbies.
- In Serie A, Inter earned a point at San Siro in their last league meeting (1-1 on February 2).
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Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction
Although Inter Milan has not won any of the three derbies played this season (1 draw, 2 losses), they could take the lead after the first leg of this Coppa Italia semifinal. Riding a five-game winning streak, the Nerazzurri are in prime position to chase a domestic double—or even a treble. Let’s not forget that Inter had won six consecutive derbies between January 2023 and April 2024! There’s no doubt that Simone Inzaghi will have a well-defined strategy to overcome this challenge and reach the Coppa Italia final.
Our prediction for AC Milan vs. Inter Milan: Inter Milan win!
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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