AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
4/5/25 14:45
Fiorentina

Prediction:

 

Fiorentina to win

+320
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 by Simon Day in Serie A Picks

Just one place separates AC Milan and Fiorentina in the Seie A standings, so a tight contest looks in store when the two teams meet at the San Siro on Saturday evening. It has been a hugely frustrating season for Milan, and their chances of qualifying for Europe next season are fading fast. They are now eight points off the Champions League places and barring a remarkable end to the campaign, they will miss out on a place at Europe's top table. 

Fiorentina have a much better chance of finishing in the top five and victory on Saturday could take them within a point of the Champions League places. Raffaele Palladino's men go into this huge game in superb form, having picked up three wins from their last three games, including memorable victories over top five sides Juventus and Atalanta. 

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
51 30 15 6 9 17
9
AC Milan
AC Milan
47 30 13 8 9 10

AC Milan and Fiorentina Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
L L W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan
W W D L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  1
Feyenoord

Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Feb 5, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Mar 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan

Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
AC Milan

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
1 :  0
AC Milan

Feb 8, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  2
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

Feb 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  2
Como 1907

Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Genoa
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Feb 10, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 13, 2025 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Fiorentina

AC Milan against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

67 %

Draw

0 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Oct 6, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

Mar 30, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
AC Milan

Nov 25, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Mar 4, 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 13, 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

May 1, 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina v AC Milan last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
32
K. Walker
46
M. Gabbia
28
M. Thiaw
19
T. Hernandez
29
Y. Fofana
14
T. Reijnders
20
A. Jimenez
11
C. Pulisic
10
R. Leao
90
T. Abraham
20
M. Kean
10
A. Gudmundsson
65
F. Parisi
44
N. Fagioli
32
D. Cataldi
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
18
P. Mari
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Fiorentina

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

Emerson

A. Jimenez

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

R. Gosens

Midfielder

E. Bove

A. Colpani

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (18 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal R. Leao (8 Assists)
Best assists
Germany R. Gosens (7 Assists)

AC Milan and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
43%
Victories
50%
27%
Draw
20%
30%
Defeats
30%
2.67
Total goals per match
2.57
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.57
1.17
Goals conceded per match
1
60%
Over 2.5
57%
40%
Under 2.5
43%
60%
BTTS
50%
33%
No goals conceded
37%

AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Milan have lost 4 of their last 6 Serie A matches
  2. Fiorentina have conceded just 2 goals in their last 4 games
  3. Milan have gone 6 games without a clean sheet
  4. Fiorentina are on a 3 game winning streak
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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Milan are big favorites in this one, but the formbook suggests that the visitors have an excellent chance of leaving the San Suro with all three points. Milan have struggled to keep clean sheets all season, and that could spell trouble against a Fiorentina side that have played some fantastic attacking football in recent weeks. With the likes of Moises Kean, Albert Guðmundsson and David de Gea all in excellent form for La Viola, we think the odds of 4.20 on an away win represent superb value. Our prediction for AC Milan vs Fiorentina is: Fiorentina to win.

Prediction:

 

Fiorentina to win

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$1500 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on AC Milan - Fiorentina! 

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