USA - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
23 Mar 2024 17:45
North Carolina

Prediction:

 

Under 140.5 Points

-105
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Michigan St. vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

 by Dan Angell in NCAA Basketball Picks

The Michigan State Spartans (20-14 SU, 19-14-1 ATS) faced the top seed in the West Regional in the North Carolina Tar Heels (28-7 SU, 19-15-1 ATS). The Spartans are in a familiar spot, as they've faced a No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the second round in five of the past nine tournaments. Last year, they ended Marquette's season as a lower seed before bowing out in overtime against Kansas State.

North Carolina came into this tournament hot, having won eight of its past nine games. The Tar Heels have mostly done the job when they've been able to lock down their opponent. Six of their seven defeats have seen their opponent score at least 80 points. This style of game might favor the Tar Heels overall, as both teams rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency.

Michigan St. vs North Carolina Form

Michigan St. and North Carolina Latest Matches

Michigan St.
Michigan St. Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 21, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
69 :  51
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 15, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
62 :  67
Purdue

Mar 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

Minnesota Golden Gophers
67 :  77
Michigan St.

Mar 10, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
64 :  65
Indiana Hoosiers

Mar 6, 2024 - NCAA Men

Northwestern
49 :  53
Michigan St.

Mar 2, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
74 :  80
Purdue
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

Minnesota Golden Gophers
67 :  77
Michigan St.

Mar 6, 2024 - NCAA Men

Northwestern
49 :  53
Michigan St.

Feb 25, 2024 - NCAA Men

Ohio State Buckeyes
60 :  57
Michigan St.

Feb 20, 2024 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
78 :  71
Michigan St.

Feb 10, 2024 - NCAA Men

Illinois
80 :  88
Michigan St.

Feb 3, 2024 - NCAA Men

Maryland Terrapins
54 :  63
Michigan St.
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 21, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
69 :  51
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 15, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
62 :  67
Purdue

Mar 10, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
64 :  65
Indiana Hoosiers

Mar 2, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
74 :  80
Purdue

Feb 17, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
73 :  63
Michigan Wolverines

Feb 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
80 :  72
Penn State Nittany Lions
North Carolina
North Carolina Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 21, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Wagner Seahawks
62 :  90
North Carolina

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

NC St.
84 :  76
North Carolina

Mar 15, 2024 - NCAA Men

Pittsburgh Panthers
65 :  72
North Carolina

Mar 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

Florida State Seminoles
67 :  92
North Carolina

Mar 9, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
84 :  79
Duke

Mar 5, 2024 - NCAA Men

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51 :  84
North Carolina
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 21, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Wagner Seahawks
62 :  90
North Carolina

Mar 16, 2024 - NCAA Men

NC St.
84 :  76
North Carolina

Mar 15, 2024 - NCAA Men

Pittsburgh Panthers
65 :  72
North Carolina

Mar 14, 2024 - NCAA Men

Florida State Seminoles
67 :  92
North Carolina

Mar 5, 2024 - NCAA Men

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51 :  84
North Carolina

Mar 2, 2024 - NCAA Men

NC St.
70 :  79
North Carolina
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 9, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
84 :  79
Duke

Feb 24, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
54 :  44
Virginia Cavaliers

Feb 13, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
79 :  86
Syracuse Orange

Feb 10, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
75 :  72
Miami Hurricanes

Jan 30, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
73 :  74
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Jan 27, 2024 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
75 :  68
Florida State Seminoles

Michigan St. - North Carolina Key Points

  1. The over has cashed in six of North Carolina’s seven losses this season.
  2. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its past six postseason games.
  3. The Tar Heels have held four of their past six opponents to 67 points or less.
  4. The Spartans have played to the under in seven of their past nine games.

Our Michigan St. vs North Carolina Prediction

Both teams excel at getting good looks at the hoop, but both teams also excel at stopping their opponents from hitting shots. The Spartans rank 16th in opposing field goal percentage and the Tar Heels rank 10th, and neither side has an advantage when they have the basketball.

Michigan State plays this style of basketball every year in March. The Spartans locked down Mississippi State and held them to just 51 points in the first round, and they're capable of gumming up North Carolina as well. Purdue is the only one of the Spartans' past seven opponents to break 70 points, and the Spartans made adjustments and held the Boilermakers to 67 points in the second meeting. Our prediction for Michigan State vs. North Carolina is Under 140.5.


 

Prediction:

 

Under 140.5 Points

-105
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Michigan St. vs North Carolina Picks