Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction & Picks - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

USA - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Michigan State Spartans
3/24/25 12:00
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Prediction:

 

UNDER 152.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in Basketball Picks

The final day of the Second Round of the Women’s Tournament, with the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans taking on the No. 2 seed North Carolina State Wolfpack at Reynolds Coliseum in Raleigh, NC. Tipoff is scheduled for 12 p.m. ET on Monday at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Michigan State had a rough end to the season, losing three of their last five in the regular season before losing in the second round of the Big Ten tournament to Iowa. They were 4.5-point favorites against Harvard in the first round. They attempted 20 fewer shots than the Crimson but made one more than them (18-65 to 19-45). But the real damage came at the free throw line, where the Spartans went 22-27 to Harvard’s 10-12. The Spartans played an all-around solid game but struggled with turnovers (23), which led to 23 points for Harvard.

NC State was a 19.5-point favorite against No. 15 Vermont in the first round. While they were such a heavy favorite, they didn’t take control of the game until the fourth quarter when they outscored the Catamounts 23-19 to win by 20, 71-51. The Wolfpack turned the ball over just four times and scored 12 points off Vermont’s 13 turnovers.

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Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Form

Michigan State Spartans and North Carolina State Wolfpack Latest Matches

Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Harvard Crimson
50 :  64
Michigan State Spartans

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Women

Iowa Hawkeyes
74 :  61
Michigan State Spartans

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Women

Minnesota Golden Gophers
58 :  73
Michigan State Spartans

Feb 26, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
78 :  89
Ohio State Buckeyes

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Women

Indiana Hoosiers
65 :  73
Michigan State Spartans

Feb 19, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
75 :  83
USC Trojans
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Harvard Crimson
50 :  64
Michigan State Spartans

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Women

Iowa Hawkeyes
74 :  61
Michigan State Spartans

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Women

Minnesota Golden Gophers
58 :  73
Michigan State Spartans

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Women

Indiana Hoosiers
65 :  73
Michigan State Spartans

Feb 12, 2025 - NCAA Women

Wisconsin Badgers
71 :  91
Michigan State Spartans

Feb 9, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan Wolverines
71 :  61
Michigan State Spartans
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 26, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
78 :  89
Ohio State Buckeyes

Feb 19, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
75 :  83
USC Trojans

Feb 16, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
69 :  75
UCLA Bruins

Feb 2, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
89 :  75
Northwestern Wildcats

Jan 25, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
88 :  58
Michigan Wolverines

Jan 19, 2025 - NCAA Women

Michigan State Spartans
86 :  68
Illinois Fighting Illini
North Carolina State Wolfpack
North Carolina State Wolfpack Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Vermont Catamounts
55 :  75
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 9, 2025 - NCAA Women

Duke Blue Devils
76 :  62
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
55 :  66
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 7, 2025 - NCAA Women

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
72 :  73
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
69 :  45
SMU Mustangs

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Women

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
57 :  78
North Carolina State Wolfpack
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Vermont Catamounts
55 :  75
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 9, 2025 - NCAA Women

Duke Blue Devils
76 :  62
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
55 :  66
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Mar 7, 2025 - NCAA Women

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
72 :  73
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Feb 27, 2025 - NCAA Women

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
57 :  78
North Carolina State Wolfpack

Feb 23, 2025 - NCAA Women

Notre Dame Fighting I.
95 :  104
North Carolina State Wolfpack
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 2, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
69 :  45
SMU Mustangs

Feb 20, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
83 :  68
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Feb 16, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
65 :  66
North Carolina Tar Heels

Feb 9, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
97 :  74
Florida State Seminoles

Jan 30, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
90 :  83
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Jan 23, 2025 - NCAA Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
74 :  66
Syracuse Orange

Michigan State Spartans - North Carolina State Wolfpack Key Points

  1. NC State and Michigan State have played on three different occasions, with MSU winning two
  2. Michigan State last made the second round in 2019 and the Sweet 16 in 2009.
  3. NC State last made the second round in 2024 when they made it all the way to the Final Four.
  4. NC State was undefeated at home this season, 17-0.

Our Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction

Both teams have played well on offense all season (both rank in the top 30 in scoring), along with decent defense, allowing 63-65 points per game. But neither had a solid game on the offensive end in the first round. Was it a rust issue? Do their opponents deserve credit? It’s hard to say, which leads me to think both will lean more on their defense in this game and keep the score low. If I were to pick a winner, I'd lean towards NC State -6.5, but I'm more confident in the UNDER

Our Michigan State vs. NC State Pick: UNDER 152.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 152.5

-110
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Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Picks