USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
09 Jul 2024 20:10
Houston Astros

Prediction:

Astros -1.5

+100
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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

Astros finally lost a tough series in a close Game 3 against the Twins. Before that, the Astros had won 6 series in a row, in that streak all their victories were by 2 or more runs difference. Astros have the perfect opportunity to continue winning against the Marlins in the penultimate series before the all-star break. Astros are 1st in collective AVG in MLB with 264 and after a slow start they are already 9th in home runs with 104. Marlins, on the contrary, are the team with the fewest HRs with just 71, and with the worst OBP in MLB of 282 they are characterized by be an easily controllable offense.

Still, the Marlins were able to win the series against the only team with a worse record than them, the White Sox. They made 7 runs in the last game thanks to Burger's 3-run HR. Burger, with this HR, puts himself within 1 of reaching 10, but he will hardly achieve the 34 homers he hit in 2023. 

Astros' odds to win are -200, also due to the pitching duel. Blanco will open for Astros, having a good season and with a record of 8-3. While Rogers will pitch for the Marlins, who took the L 9 times this season and had his shortest pitch of the season having pitched only 3.0 IP against the Red Sox.

Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Form

Table

Teams % P W L
11
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
0.547 161 88 73
28
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.383 162 62 100

Miami Marlins and Houston Astros Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 7, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
4 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jul 6, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Jul 5, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Miami Marlins

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  3
Miami Marlins
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 7, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
4 :  7
Miami Marlins

Jul 6, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Jul 5, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Miami Marlins

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  3
Miami Marlins
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 30, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 28, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 26, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Jun 25, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  1
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 7, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Minnesota Twins

Jul 6, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  9
Minnesota Twins

Jul 5, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
13 :  12
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 26, 2024 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
1 :  7
Houston Astros

Jun 25, 2024 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  5
Houston Astros

Jun 23, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  8
Houston Astros

Jun 22, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  5
Houston Astros

Jun 21, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
11 :  14
Houston Astros

Jun 16, 2024 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Houston Astros
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 7, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Minnesota Twins

Jul 6, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  9
Minnesota Twins

Jul 5, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
13 :  12
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Miami Marlins against Houston Astros : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

50 %

Houston Astros

50 %

Mar 19, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
3 :  3
Houston Astros

Mar 18, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
5 :  6
Miami Marlins

Mar 12, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
9 :  1
Miami Marlins

Mar 10, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Mar 5, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
Houston Astros

Feb 28, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
6 :  1
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. 35-51 is the UNDER record for Astros in the 2024 season
  2. The Marlins Bullpen has the fewest saves with 15
  3. 14-27 is the Marlins' record as visitors and underdogs
  4. Marlins won the last series against the Astros at Minute Maid Park 2-1

Our Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction

Astros will have an almost complete lineup to compete with Marlins starting Tuesday. Altuve, Peña and Álvarez are all part of the top 25 hitters with the most hits in the MLB. As visitors, the Marlins barely average 3.5 runs per game. Astros have shown resilience, hitting for a collective OBP of 324 after losing the previous game. Rogers will have a complicated game and even more so if he persists in his tendency to give away a lot of BBs, he averages 2.4 per game in his last 5 appearances. Our prediction for Marlins vs Astros is: Astros -1.5, +100 at FanDuel.

Prediction:

Astros -1.5

+100
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Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Picks