South America - Copa America

Mexico
30 Jun 2024 20:00
Ecuador

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
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Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction & Picks - Copa America

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Copa America Picks

On Sunday evening, the Mexicans will be back in action. They take on Ecuador at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Things are finely poised in Group B, with the Venzuelans holding a suprise lead after two matches, but both Mexico and Ecuador sit on three points each, meaning thatt both have a very real chance of progressing to the knockouts. The trouble is only one of them can advance, making this a huge game for both. Technically, the Ecuadorians could tie this match and progress on goal difference, but that's a dangerous game to play, especially as they don't have the tighest defense.
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Mexico vs Ecuador Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Ecuador
Ecuador
4 3 1 1 1 1
3
Mexico
Mexico
4 3 1 1 1 0

Mexico and Ecuador Latest Matches

Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  0
Mexico

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Mexico
1 :  0
Jamaica

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Brazil

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

May 31, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Bolivia

Mar 24, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
2 :  0
Mexico
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Mexico
1 :  0
Jamaica

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Brazil

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

May 31, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Bolivia

Dec 16, 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

Nov 21, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  0
Honduras
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  0
Mexico

Mar 24, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
2 :  0
Mexico

Mar 21, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
0 :  3
Mexico

Nov 17, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Jul 12, 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Jamaica
0 :  3
Mexico

Jun 29, 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Haiti
1 :  3
Mexico
Ecuador
Ecuador Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
3 :  1
Jamaica

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
1 :  2
Venezuela

Jun 16, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  1
Honduras

Jun 12, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
3 :  1
Bolivia

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
3 :  1
Jamaica

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
1 :  2
Venezuela

Jun 16, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  1
Honduras

Jun 12, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
3 :  1
Bolivia

Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  0
Guatemala

Nov 21, 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Chile
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador

Nov 16, 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
0 :  0
Ecuador

Oct 12, 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia
1 :  2
Ecuador

Sep 7, 2023 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 20, 2023 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica
1 :  3
Ecuador

Mexico against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)

Jun 5, 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Ecuador

Mexico - Ecuador: Form Analysis

In their first Copa America fixture, the Ecuadorians weer expected (by most people) to get the job done against Venezuela, but an early red card for their captain and talisman Enner Valencia made things much harder than they should've been, so hard in fact that they ended up losing the game. Fortunately, on match-day two, the men in yellow bounced back with a relatively easy win against the Jamaicans. Having played well in that game, they'll be confident of getting something against a Mexican team that hasn't been at its best of late. 

While the Ecuadorians struggled on match-day one, the Mexicans got the job done, beating Jamaica by a goal to nil, though that win and clean sheet combination did not act as a springboard for further success. On match-day two, El Tri came up short against a surprisingly efficient Venezuelan team. Of course, that defeat was partly their own doing as they missed several good scoring opportunities. 

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Mexico against Ecuador Lineups: Starting 11

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Gonzalez
2
J. Sanchez
3
C. Montes
5
J. Vasquez
6
G. Arteaga
17
O. Pineda
7
L. Romo
24
L. Chavez
21
C. Huerta
11
S. Gimenez
9
J. Quinones
13
E. Valencia
16
J. Sarmiento
10
K. Paez
11
K. Rodriguez
23
M. Caicedo
21
A. Franco
3
P. Hincapie
6
W. Pacho
2
F. Torres
17
A. Preciado
22
A. Dominguez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ecuador

Missing players

Mexico
Mexico
Midfielder

E. Alvarez

Ecuador
Ecuador

Mexico & Ecuador Squad Analysis

For Ecuador, captain Enner Valencia remains sidelined thanks to that stupid red card on match-day one. Manager Felix Sanchez isn't expected to change too much after his team played well against Jamaica, though if a change is made, Alan Minda is probably the most likely to come in from the start following his goal as a substitute last time out. 

Mexican boss Jaime Lozano could make a few changes following that defeat to Venezuela, with the tricky Alexis Vega a candidate to come in from the start, while Orbelin Pineda, who started against Jamaica, is another likely to return to the starting XI. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Ecuador
Top Goalscorer
Mexico G. Arteaga (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ecuador J. Sarmiento (1 Goals) Ecuador A. Minda (1 Goals) Ecuador K. Paez (1 Goals) Ecuador K. Rodriguez (1 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico L. Romo (1 Assists)
Best assists
Ecuador C. Gruezo (1 Assists)
Ecuador J. Yeboah (1 Assists)

Mexico - Ecuador Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in each of Ecuador's last four games.
  2. Three of the last four renewals of this fixture have seen both teams score.
  3. The Mexicans have kept just one clean sheet in their last four games.
  4. Ecuador are without a clean sheet in four matches.
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Our Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction

At the end of the day, both teams need to go for this. Based on what we've seen so far, neither can rely on any sort of defensive solidity, while both look to be better in attack, so it's probably fair to say that 'Both Teams to Score' looks a little generously priced. After all, the Ecuadorians have made a habit of both scoring and conceding of late, with both teams scoring in each of their first two games in Group B at this Copa America. We know that the Mexicans create lots of chances, we saw that last time out against Venezuela, and they certainly have enough about them to hurt a Ecuador defense that doesn't look too strong, but they leave themselves open at the back, as we also saw against Venezuela, so don't be surprised if El Tri both scores and concedes in this crucial game. Our Prediction: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
$150 offered for betting!

Mexico vs Ecuador - Other Interesting Picks

Santiago Tomas Gimenez

Odds +270
Mexico forward Santiago Tomas Gimenez hasn't scored at the Copa America yet, but he's not a forward to dismiss lightly. Given Ecuador's rather weak back line, the Feyenoord striker looks a little generously priced to score in this game. After all, this is a man who scored 23 goals in just 30 games in the Dutch top division last season, averaging no less than 3.99 shots (1.86 on target) per 90 minutes. He's also averaging 2.13 shots (1.42 on target) at this tournament.
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Mexico vs Ecuador Picks
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