ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Novak Djokovic of Serbia opens his Mutua Madrid Open campaign against Matteo Arnaldi of Italy in Saturday’s second-round matchup at Manolo Santana Stadium.
Djokovic returns to action after bombing out in the second round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters. Chilean rising star caught the 24-time Grand Slam champion flat-footed in their second-round match in Monaco, scoring 6-3 6-4 upset over the Serbian. But with Carlos Alcaraz skipping this event due to injuries, Djokovic sees a wider road towards another title in Madrid.
Arnaldi arranged his first matchup with Djokovic after gutting out a 4-6 6-4 7-5 win over Borna Coric of Croatia in the first round. Arnaldi, who lost in the first round of the Monte Carlo Masters and Barcelona Open, won 73 percent of his first serves and captured three breakpoints to pull off the comeback win.
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Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 6, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 30, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 28, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 27, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami
Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Matteo Arnaldi defeated Borna Coric 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 in the first round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Matteo Arnaldi is 2-4 in his last six matches.
- Novak Djokovic lost to Alejandro Tabilo 3-6, 4-6 in the first round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Novak Djokovic has an 81.6 percent win rate on clay.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic cruises to a straight-set win.
Novak Djokovic decided to skip this year’s Barcelona Open to give him at least a week of recalibrating his form following a disappointing campaign in Monte Carlo. Look out for Djokovic to come out of the gates like a house of fire as he tries to make a statement in Madrid. Arnaldi is another promising talent out of Italy, but I feel he’s not in top shape to contend with an elite-level player like Djokovic. Arnaldi is 1-7 against the ATP top-5 in his career. Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Novak Djokovic will win 2-0.
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