Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 44 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
4/26/25 09:30
ATP 5 Serbia
Novak Djokovic

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will win 2-0

-140
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Novak Djokovic of Serbia opens his Mutua Madrid Open campaign against Matteo Arnaldi of Italy in Saturday’s second-round matchup at Manolo Santana Stadium.

Djokovic returns to action after bombing out in the second round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters. Chilean rising star caught the 24-time Grand Slam champion flat-footed in their second-round match in Monaco, scoring 6-3 6-4 upset over the Serbian. But with Carlos Alcaraz skipping this event due to injuries, Djokovic sees a wider road towards another title in Madrid.

Arnaldi arranged his first matchup with Djokovic after gutting out a 4-6 6-4 7-5 win over Borna Coric of Croatia in the first round. Arnaldi, who lost in the first round of the Monte Carlo Masters and Barcelona Open, won 73 percent of his first serves and captured three breakpoints to pull off the comeback win.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Borna Ćorić

Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Apr 6, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Richard Gasquet

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Yibing Wu

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima
Novak Djokovic Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Mar 30, 2025 - ATP Miami

Jakub Mensik
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Mar 28, 2025 - ATP Miami

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

Mar 27, 2025 - ATP Miami

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic
Compare Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic with our comparison tool.

Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic Key Points

  1. Matteo Arnaldi defeated Borna Coric 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 in the first round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  2. Matteo Arnaldi is 2-4 in his last six matches.
  3. Novak Djokovic lost to Alejandro Tabilo 3-6, 4-6 in the first round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  4. Novak Djokovic has an 81.6 percent win rate on clay.

Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic cruises to a straight-set win.

Novak Djokovic decided to skip this year’s Barcelona Open to give him at least a week of recalibrating his form following a disappointing campaign in Monte Carlo. Look out for Djokovic to come out of the gates like a house of fire as he tries to make a statement in Madrid. Arnaldi is another promising talent out of Italy, but I feel he’s not in top shape to contend with an elite-level player like Djokovic. Arnaldi is 1-7 against the ATP top-5 in his career. Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Novak Djokovic will win 2-0.

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will win 2-0

-140
$1500 offered for betting!

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Picks