ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 47

Marcos Giron

11 May 2024 15:50

ATP 8

Andrey Rublev

Prediction:

Marcos Giron (1.5) Set Handicap

+195

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Marcos Giron vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

Prediction published on 5/10/24, 9:28 AM by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 5/10/24 at 10:29 AM in ATP Italian Open Picks

One of the more eye-catching matches at the ATP event in Rome on Saturday sees Marcos Giron take on Andrey Rublev. The Russian arrives at this tournament in fine form having won the event in Madrid last week, though can he maintain those levels at an event now played at sea level? Marcos Giron has made a good start in the Italian capital and could make this something of a test for the player currently ranked sixth in the world.

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Marcos Giron vs Andrey Rublev Form

Marcos Giron and Andrey Rublev Latest Matches

Marcos Giron Latest matches

W L L L L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 9, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Emil Ruusuvuori

1 : 2

Marcos Giron

Apr 30, 2024 - Aix en Provence, France

Marcos Giron

0 : 2

Jaume Munar

Apr 25, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Max Purcell

2 : 1

Marcos Giron

Apr 9, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Zhizhen Zhang

2 : 1

Marcos Giron

Apr 5, 2024 - ATP Houston

Marcos Giron

0 : 2

Luciano Darderi

Apr 3, 2024 - ATP Houston

Marcos Giron

2 : 0

Jeffrey John Wolf

Andrey Rublev Latest matches

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

May 5, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Felix Auger Aliassime

1 : 2

Andrey Rublev

May 3, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Taylor Fritz

0 : 2

Andrey Rublev

May 1, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev

2 : 1

Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev

2 : 0

Tallon Griekspoor

Apr 28, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev

2 : 0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Apr 26, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev

2 : 0

Facundo Bagnis

Marcos Giron - Andrey Rublev Key Points

In each of the last three years, Rublev has lost to lower-ranked player at the ATP event in Rome.
Rublev has a relatively underwhelming 55% win rate at this event in Rome, so he's certainly not infallible.
Marcos Giron won his first four matches at ATP event in Rome back in 2022, so he has positive form at this tournament.
Marcos Giron has twice the quarter-finals of this tournament.

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Our Marcos Giron vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Andrey Rublev is one of the best players on the planet right now, make no mistake about that. The Russian was in fine form last week in the Spanish capital of Madrid, though he does have a habit of crashing down against lower-ranked players when on a winning run such as this one, while it must be said that the world number six is more suited to the quicker courts in Madrid. That tournament was played at altitude, but in Rome, things are slower as we're at sea level. This change removes some of Rublev's advantage if you ask me, while we shouldn't ignore the fact that Gironhas the benefit of a win under his belt at this event already, winning yesterday. We also know that Giron has done well here in the past, beating several higher-ranked players. All in all, the Russian looks a little short in the early betting. There's no guarantee that he'll continue to be in blistering form, so betting on Giron to make life tough by winning at least one set represents some value at the currently available odds. Our Prediction: Marcos Giron (1.5) Set Handicap.

Prediction:

Marcos Giron (1.5) Set Handicap

+195

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