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Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
4/6/25 10:30
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Draw and Omar Marmoush to score

+1100
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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

The Manchester derby is always one of the highlights of the Premier League season and this Sunday's encounter at Old Trafford will be no exception. It has been a dire season for United, but they did come out on top when the teams met at the Etihad in December. After trailing to a first half goal from Josko Gvardiol, last strikes from Bruno Fernandes and Amad Diallo gave United a shock 1-2 victory and bragging rights in the city. 

Since that game, both sides have struggled for consistency and City's title defence is lying in tatters. However, they do still have an excellent chance of qualifying for next season's Champions League and victory on Sunday will go a long way towards ensuring that they remain at Europe's top table. As for United, they have little to play for the league, so boss Ruben Amorim may elect to shuffle his team ahead of Thursday's crucial Europa League quarter final against Lyon. 

Manchester United vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Manchester City
Manchester City
51 30 15 6 9 17
13
Manchester United
Manchester United
37 30 10 7 13 -4

Manchester United and Manchester City Latest Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
D D D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Manchester United

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Manchester United

Mar 2, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fulham
L W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 2, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fulham

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Ipswich Town

Feb 7, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester United
2 :  1
Leicester

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
Crystal Palace
W L D D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Manchester United

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

Feb 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

Jan 30, 2025 - Europa League

Fotbal Club Fcsb
0 :  2
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 1, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Mar 1, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Newcastle

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester City

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  2
Manchester City

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

Manchester United against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

33 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester City

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Dec 15, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 10, 2024 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Manchester United

May 25, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

Oct 29, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Manchester City

Jun 3, 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  1
Manchester United

Manchester United - Manchester City: Form Analysis

United come into this game off the back of a narrow 1-0 defeat at Notts Forest in a game that they dominated for large parts. That defeat ended a run of four games undefeated for Ruben Amorim's team and ensured they remained in 13th place in the Premier League standings. United's form at Old Trafford has been inconsistent throughout the campaign and they have lost seven of their 15 Premier League home games, including five of their last eight. 

City showing signs of life

After a dismal few months, City are slowly showing signs of improvement. Wednesday's routine 2-0 victory over Leicester City means they have now lost just one of their last six Premier League games and currently occupy the final Champions League spot in the Premier League table. City have also qualified for the FA Cup semi finals, thanks to last Sunday's come from behind victory at Bournemouth. So despite it being an extremely disappointing season for Pep Guardiola's side, they could still finish the campaign with another trophy in their cabinet.

Manchester City v Manchester United last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

24
A. Onana
15
L. Yoro
4
M. De Ligt
3
N. Mazraoui
20
D. Dalot
18
Casemiro
25
M. Ugarte
13
P. Dorgu
8
B. Fernandes
17
A. Garnacho
11
J. Zirkzee
7
O. Marmoush
11
J. Doku
10
J. Grealish
26
Savinho
19
I. Gundogan
14
N. Gonzalez
75
N. O'Reilly
24
J. Gvardiol
3
R. Dias
27
M. Nunes
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester City

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Shaw

J. Evans

L. Martinez

A. Heaven

Midfielder

A. Diallo

K. Mainoo

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

M. Akanji

J. Stones

N. Ake

Midfielder

O. Bobb

Rodri

Forward

E. Haaland

Manchester United & Manchester City Squad Analysis

United have a number of key players out with long terms injuries. Etihad hero Amad Diallo, star midfielder Kobbie Mainoo and experienced defender Lisandro Martinez are all out for the game, whilst left back Luke Shaw is still some way short of match fitness. On the plus side, Mason Mount returned from injury in the Forest match and is in contention for his first start Premier League start of the year. 

Haaland a big miss for City

City's top scorer Erling Haaland looks to be out for the season after suffering a bad ankle injury in the Cup victory at Bournemouth. Haaland joins the likes of Rodri, Nathan Ake and John Stones on the sidelines, leaving City boss Pep Guardiola with a big selection headache ahead of this huge clash. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (29 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (14 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Savinho (10 Assists)

Manchester United and Manchester City Stats in Premier League

Manchester United
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester City
33%
Victories
50%
23%
Draw
20%
43%
Defeats
30%
2.6
Total goals per match
3.23
1.23
Goals scored per match
1.9
1.37
Goals conceded per match
1.33
57%
Over 2.5
67%
43%
Under 2.5
33%
43%
BTTS
60%
27%
No goals conceded
27%

Manchester United - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Omar Marmoush has scored in his last 3 games for City
  2. United have lost 7 of their Premier League home games this season
  3. City have scored in each of their last 10 games against United
  4. United have gone 8 home games without a clean sheet

Our Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction

United have shown a few signs of improvement in recent weeks, but they are still an extremely tough side to trust. City have hardly pulled up any trees themselves this season, but their recent results have been good and we think they have the edge in this game. A key reason for City's improved form has been new signing Omar Marmoush. The Egyptian forward has scored in each of his last three games, and we are backing the frontman to find the net once again on Sunday. 

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Manchester City is: Draw and Omar Marmoush to score.

Prediction:

 

Draw and Omar Marmoush to score

+1100
$150 offered for betting!

Manchester United vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks

City to win to nil

Odds +270
United's strikers have been misfiring all season, so regardless of whether Amorim starts with Joshua Zirkzee or Rasmus Højlund up front, it is hard to see them causing City too many problems. Taking that into account, plus City's solid recent form, we really like the chances of City winning this game to nil.
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Manchester United vs Manchester City Picks