New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
4/22/25 14:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+125
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Erik Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Manchester City face Aston Villa on Tuesday in a crucial Premier League showdown with Champions League qualification on the line. For Pep Guardiola's side, the fight for a top-four finish is unfamiliar territory, but recent inconsistencies have left them needing points in the final stretch of the season.

A visit from Aston Villa—one of the league's most in-form teams—comes at a pivotal moment. Unai Emery’s Villa arrive in high spirits after a commanding 4-1 win over Newcastle United, a result that showcased their attacking prowess and resilience following a tough European night against PSG.

That victory marked their fifth consecutive league win, including triumphs over other top-half opponents like Nottingham Forest. Their earlier win over City this season, a 2-1 result, further bolsters their confidence heading into this clash. Villa are not a side to be underestimated. Their attacking trio has been electric in recent weeks, and their ability to break down tough defenses will be a key test for City's back line.

Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Aston Villa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Manchester City
Manchester City
58 33 17 7 9 22
7
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
57 33 16 9 8 6

Manchester City and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
D W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Mar 1, 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Newcastle
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester City

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Al Ain FC

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Club Brugge

Feb 28, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Cardiff
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 30, 2025 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Manchester City against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

50 %

Draw

17 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester City

Apr 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Feb 12, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 3, 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Manchester City

May 22, 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Manchester City last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

18
S. Ortega
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
75
N. O'Reilly
19
I. Gundogan
14
N. Gonzalez
20
B. Silva
17
K. De Bruyne
26
Savinho
7
O. Marmoush
11
O. Watkins
7
J. McGinn
21
M. Asensio
27
M. Rogers
8
Y. Tielemans
44
B. Kamara
22
I. Maatsen
4
E. Konsa
5
T. Mings
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

Ederson

Defender

M. Akanji

J. Stones

N. Ake

Midfielder

Rodri

P. Foden

Forward

E. Haaland

Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (16 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Savinho (10 Assists)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (11 Assists)

Manchester City and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League

Manchester City
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
52%
Victories
48%
21%
Draw
27%
27%
Defeats
24%
3.21
Total goals per match
3.03
1.94
Goals scored per match
1.61
1.27
Goals conceded per match
1.42
64%
Over 2.5
70%
36%
Under 2.5
30%
58%
BTTS
67%
30%
No goals conceded
18%

Manchester City - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Man City are 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games
  2. Aston Villa are 5-4-1 in their last 10 away games
  3. The Over 3.5 is 9-1 in the last 10 games between Man City and Villa
  4. Manchester City have 1 clean sheet in their last five home games
Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Aston Villa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Despite their patchy form, Manchester City remain formidable at the Etihad. They’ve collected eight wins from their last eleven home games in all competitions this calendar year and have claimed victory in their two most recent home league fixtures. While they edged past Everton in a less-than-convincing display, their overall home record suggests they are still a force to be reckoned with under the lights in Manchester.

Both sides have everything to play for, with Champions League qualification not yet secure for either.

Given the stakes and the quality on display, goals are expected. City’s superior attacking depth and home advantage could be the difference, but Villa’s recent form and growing confidence make them dangerous opponents. A tight, entertaining game is likely, with both teams expected to score.

Ultimately, while Villa have shown they can compete with and beat the best, Manchester City’s need for points and their Etihad fortress may tip the scales in their favor. A high-scoring encounter could be on the cards, with a home win looking like the most probable outcome—but not without a serious test from the visitors. Our prediction for Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Man City to win.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+125
$200 offered for betting!

Claim $200 for your Manchester City vs Aston Villa wager!

DK Welcome Bonus

Would you like to bet on Manchester City vs Aston Villa? For this Premier League match, the sportsbook treats you to an exclusive offer: a bonus of $200, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

Not registered yet? You can create your account now by filling in this form. A bonus of $200 awaits you on the Manchester City vs Aston Villa match!

$200 available for Manchester City vs Aston Villa

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Aston Villa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings