WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
A rematch of the 2025 Australian Open semifinals, Madison Keys of the United States will slug it out anew with Iga Swiatek of Poland in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open.
Keys made it to her first quarterfinal since the Indian Wells Open, outpowering Donna Vekic of Croatia 6-2 6-3. Keys, who crashed out in the third round in Miami and Charleston, used a strong start to assert dominance on Vekic right away. The American sustained her impeccable form into the second set to finish off the Croatian in one hour and 16 minutes.
Swiatek entered the round of 8 after she survived another three-set battle with Diana Shnaider of Russia 6-0 6-7(3) 6-4. Swiatek, who had also escaped with a three-set win against Alexandra Eala 4-6 6-4 6-2 before pummeling Linda Noskova 6-4 6-2, displayed nerves of steel to weather off a serious upset attempt from Shnaider. Swiatek won 42 points off her first serves and broke Shnaider’s six times, including twice in the second set.
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Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Form
Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 3, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 1, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 23, 2025 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 16, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Mar 26, 2025 - WTA Miami
Madison Keys against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jan 23, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
May 14, 2024 - WTA Rome
May 2, 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Iga Swiatek is the 2024 Madrid Open champion.
- Madison Keys defeated Donna Vekic 6-2, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Madison Keys is 2-4 head-to-head with Iga Swiatek
- Iga Swiatek defeated Diana Shnaider 6-0 6-7(3) 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
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Our Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Queen of Clay avenges her Australian Open loss, pummels Madison Keys in straight sets.
It may have been a bumpy journey to the quarterfinals for Swiatek, but she’s still my pick to win in straight sets over Keys in their rematch on Wednesday. Swiatek had been looking forward to the day she plays Keys again since that loss at the Australian Open semifinals. Now that she finally gets it, a super-motivated Swiatek is expected to be unleashed at Manolo Santana Stadium, where she has won many times. Madison Keys, a career 64.6 percent on clay, remains a threat to Swiatek, but I think her chances of beating Swiatek this time are slim since the clay has always been the Pole’s favorite surface to play on. Our betting prediction for Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys: Swiatek covers -4.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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