WTA - WTA Australian Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Picks - WTA Australian Open
by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Former world’s No.1 Iga Swiatek will gun for a spot in the women’s singles championship match against Madison Keys on Friday at the 2025 Australian Open. Swiatek continued to annihilate the competition on Wednesday, posting a dominant 6-1 6-2 win over Emma Navarro. The Pole conceded three games against Navarro after giving up only two in the previous two rounds. Swiatek unleashed a full repertoire of shots in the quarterfinal, generating 67 points – 21 of which were winners. Committing 24 errors also did not help Navarro’s cost as she fell short of securing back-to-back Grand Slam semis stint. Keys engaged in a toe-to-toe battle with fellow veteran Elina Svitolina, scoring the big points down the stretch to hack out a 3-6 6-3 6-4 win and return ticket to the Australian Open semifinals. Keys, now a three-time Australian Open semi-finalist, converted only two break points but breaking for the fifth game of the deciding set to get ahead 3-2 and a serve proved to be the turning moment of the match.
Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Form
Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 21, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 19, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 18, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 16, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 14, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 11, 2025 - WTA Adelaide
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 21, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 20, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 17, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 15, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 12, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 5, 2025 - United Cup
Madison Keys against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
May 14, 2024 - WTA Rome
May 2, 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek: Form Analysis
Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set in this tournament. Besides winning the opening match over Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-4, Swiatek has never allowed an opponent to capture more than four games. On the other hand, Keys has gone through several battles to reach the semis. In her quarterfinal win over Svitolina, the American needed almost two hours to get past her feisty Ukrainian rival.
Swiatek said during the post-match interviews she was happy to reach the Australian Open semifinal, adding that it's like a breath of fresh air to go deep in a Grand Slam event other than the French Open.
"Honestly, I wasn't going so deep in Grand Slams so much except Roland Garros," Swiatek said. "For sure now I'm happy that I'm kind of playing my level here. Last year my journey here finished at fourth and third round, so for sure I feel more confident now."
Keys, who has won her last 10 matches, also believes the momentum she gained from her run at the Adelaide International has helped her a lot in Melbourne.
Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM
Madison Keys & Iga Swiatek Squad Analysis
Iga Swiatek hasn’t complained about any issue with her fitness before the semifinal match with Keys. The Pole has been in terrific form, shown by her lopsided wins over elite opponents in this tournament. The same can be said for Madison Keys, who, despite going the distance three times, said she’s feeling terrific heading into her third Australian Open semis.
During a postgame interview, Keys said she's feeling good and in top form since her title-clinching run at the Adelaide International.
“Feeling good. I think I started taping in the finals of Adelaide so at this point it is just part of the uniform.”
Swiatek dispatching her opponents with less time means she will have fresher legs in the semifinal duel. As for Keys, fatigue could play a factor in her match with Swiatek. especially if this goes the distance.
Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Iga Swiatek defeated Emma Navarro 6-1, 6-2 in the quarterfinal.
- Iga Swiatek has yet to drop a set at the Australian Open.
- Madison Keys defeated Elina Svitolina 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the quarterfinal.
- Madison Keys will play her third Australian Open semifinal match.
Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM
Our Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Only a miracle can save Madison Keys from suffering the same fate Emma Raducanu and Emma Navarro experienced at the hands of the imperious Swiatek. The amazing Pole has beaten Keys in four of their five head-to-head meetings, including a 6-1 6-0 victory in the quarterfinal of the 2022 Indian Wells Open. Swiatek has held 95 percent of her serves and converted 51 percent of breakpoints, making her almost invincible in this tourney. Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek: Swiatek will cover -6.5 games.
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek - Other Interesting Picks
Swiatek will win 2-0.
Again, Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a single set in this tournament, and she’s holding almost all her serves at a 95 percent serve rate. It would take a lot for Keys to overcome Swiatek in this form, let alone win a set. Keys is an outstanding player with a lengthy experience playing in Grand Slams. However, Swiatek is putting on a show of force that hasn’t been seen since the prime years of Serena Williams. Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek: Swiatek will win 2-0.
Under 18.5 Games.
This is going to be a quick match. Swiatek spent just over an hour in each of her first five matches in this tournament. And since I expect another total domination from her, the final score will be devastating for Keys and her supporters. Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek: Under 18.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM
