Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 16 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
4/11/25 10:25
ATP 8 Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas will cover -3.5 Games

+125
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks

Two-time Monte Carlo Master champion Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece will be battling Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the final match of the quarterfinal round on Friday in Monaco.

Tsitsipas barged into the quarterfinal round with a rumbustious 6-1, 6-1 win over Nuno Borges of Portugal. After grinding out a 4-6 6-4 6-2 win over Jordan Thompson of Australia in the second round, Tsitsipas demonstrated power and precision to dispatch her Portugues foe in one hour and seven minutes. The Greek won all his serves and added seven breakpoint conversions to seize complete dominance in the match.

Musetti also moved to the quarterfinal phase with a 6-3 6-3 win over compatriot Matteo Berrettini on Thursday. After escaping a pair of three-set matches against Bu Yunchaokete 4-6 7-5 6-3 and Jiri Lehecka 1-6 7-5 6-2, Musetti took a more disciplined approach as he connected 74 percent of his first serves to earn 27 points and broke three times.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Yunchaokete Bu
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Quentin Halys
Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jordan Thompson
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Chun Hsin Tseng
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 11, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 9, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Lorenzo Musetti against Stefanos Tsitsipas : Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

0 %

Stefanos Tsitsipas

100 %

May 16, 2023 - ATP Italian Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 22, 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

May 24, 2022 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  3
Stefanos Tsitsipas

May 22, 2021 - ATP Lyon Open

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Mar 20, 2021 - ATP Acapulco Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points

  1. Stefanos Tsitsipas is a two-time Monte Carlo Masters.
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Nuno Borges 6-1, 6-1 in the third round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  3. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  4. Lorenzo Musetti is 0-5 vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas in their head-to-head series.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

I am high on Tsitsipas winning by at least four games against Musetti, beating the maximum handicap of -3.5 games offered by BetMGM. I believe Tsitsipas flipped the switch during his demolition of Borges in the third round. Musetti is a tremendous competitor on the clay court, with a high win rate on the surface of 65.3 percent. But Tsitsipas boasts one of the highest hit rates on clay among active players on the Tour ata  76.4 percent hit rate. He also commands a 5-0 head-to-head series lead over Mussetti; four wins were on clay. I would not say it would be a walk in the park for Tsitsipas. Musetti will challenge him. Then again, I feel he will still come through with the big point in the most crucial points of this match. Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Tsitsipas will cover -3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas will cover -3.5 Games

+125
$1500 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Picks