Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 16 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
4/12/25 09:30
ATP 10 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur will win 2-0

+165
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks

Lorenzo Musetti of Italy will square it off with Alex De Minaur of Australia in Friday’s action-packed semifinal matchup at the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.

Musetti reached his first ATP 1000 semis appearance after ousting the defending champion, Stefanos Tsitsipas, in a thrilling three-set encounter, 1-6 6-3 6-4. Musetti managed to pull off the upset – his third three-set win in the tourney – by connecting 74 percent of his first serves and winning 47 points. Friday’s result also handed Musetti his first win over the Greek in six head-to-head matches.

De Minaur also eased through to the semis with a double bagel win over Grigor Dimitrov 6-0 6-0. The Australian came off another dominant win over former world’s No.1 Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-2, but nobody expected him to dominate the way he did against Dimitrov. De Minaur won 75 percent of his first serves and 80 percent of his second while breaking six times.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Yunchaokete Bu
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Grigor Dimitrov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Joao Fonseca

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

Lorenzo Musetti against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the QF of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  2. Lorenzo Musetti holds a 65 percent win rate on clay.
  3. Alex De Minaur defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6-2, 6-2 in the QF of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters
  4. Alex De Minaur is 20-6 in the 2025 ATP season.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Prediction: Alex De Minaur continues his dominance to earn his second final stint on the tour this year.

Reasoning: Musetti isn’t an easy foe by any means. He has a 65 percent win rate on the surface and defeated the defending champion in an electrifying quarterfinal battle. Unfortunately for him, De Minaur is playing out of this world. He dominated two top-tier opponents Medvedev and Dimitrov, like they were nothing to him. Musetti would be lucky if he won a set in this particular match. But for me, De Minaur deserves to be in the finals of this year’s tourney. Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex De Minaur: Alex De Minaur will win 2-0.

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur will win 2-0

+165
$250 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Picks