Europe - Champions League

Lille
3/12/25 13:45
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Draw after 90 minutes

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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Simon Day in Champions League Picks

Lille and Borussia Dortmund go into the second leg of their Champions League last 16 clash with the tie delicately poised at 1-1, following last week's draw in Germany. Dortmund were quickest out of the blocks in the first leg, but only had Karim Adeyemi's 22nd minute goal to show for an impressive first half display. Midfielder Pascal Gross did find the net on the stroke of half time, but his effort was correctly ruled out for offside, whilst Adeyemi and Nico Schlotterbeck also wasted golden opportunities to increase the lead. They were made to pay for those missed chances when Lyon equalized in the 68th minute through Hakon Haraldsson. The Icelandic wideman swept home following a slick passing move to register his first ever goal in the competition. Dortmund piled on the pressure in the latter stages, but the French defense held firm to ensure the tie remained all square.
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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Lille and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Lille
Lille Latest matches
L W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Montpellier Hsc

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Mar 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

Feb 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Monaco

Feb 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lille

Feb 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  2
Le Havre
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Montpellier Hsc

Feb 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Monaco

Feb 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  2
Le Havre

Feb 4, 2025 - French Cup

Lille
1 :  1
USL Dunkerque

Feb 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  1
Saint Etienne

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Lille
6 :  1
Feyenoord
D L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Mar 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

Feb 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lille

Jan 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
Lille

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Lille

Jan 14, 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
L D W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund
W L D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Stuttgart

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Shakhtar Donetsk
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Bologna
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 17, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Lille against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Lille - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Lille followed up their first leg draw with a narrow 1-0 win over Montpellier in Ligue 1. That result moved Bruno Génésio's side up to fifth in the table, with only goal difference keeping them out of the Champions League places. At home, Lille have been in superb form this season, losing just one of their last 16 games at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Season to forget for Dortmund

After last season's second place finish in the Bundesliga and run to the Champions League final, this season has been a huge disappointment for Dortmund. They are currently languishing in tenth place domestically having lost six of their last ten league games. Saturday's 0-1 home defeat to Augsberg effectively ended their slim chances of finishing in the top four and they now have little to play for in the Bundesliga. Their Champions League form has been slightly better, and they completed a convincing 6-1 play off victory over Sporting Lisbon after finishing in tenth place during the league phase. 

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Borussia Dortmund v Lille last Lineups

Lille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

30
L. Chevalier
12
T. Meunier
18
B. Diakite
4
A. Ribeiro
20
M. Bakker
26
A. Gomes
32
A. Bouaddi
10
R. Cabella
21
B. Andre
7
H. Haraldsson
9
J. David
9
S. Guirassy
43
J. Gittens
10
J. Brandt
27
K. Adeyemi
13
P. Gross
6
S. Ozcan
5
R. Bensebaini
4
N. Schlotterbeck
23
E. Can
2
Y. Couto
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Lille
Lille
Defender

S. Umtiti

T. Santos

Midfielder

O. Sahraoui

Forward

E. Zhegrova

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

D. Svensson

Midfielder

F. Nmecha

Lille & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos remain long term injury absences for Lille, whilst winger Edon Zhegrova is also likely to miss out with an adductor problem. Their only other doubt concerns Osame Sahraori, who has missed the last few games with a hip injury. 

Kovac searching for his best eleven

Dortmund boss Nico Kovac also has a relatively short injury list, with Daniel Svensson and Felix Nmecha the only players set to miss the game. The main issue for Kovac since taking over at Dortmund has been finding the right formation and starting lineup. Results have improved slightly under the Croatia manager, but Dortmund are still some way short of their best and doubts remain over whether Kovac is the right man to lead the team after this season. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lille
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. David (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (24 Goals)
Best assists
Canada J. David (5 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Lille and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League

Lille
Lille
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
54%
Victories
55%
23%
Draw
18%
23%
Defeats
27%
3
Total goals per match
3.55
1.85
Goals scored per match
2.36
1.15
Goals conceded per match
1.18
54%
Over 2.5
73%
46%
Under 2.5
27%
77%
BTTS
55%
15%
No goals conceded
45%

Lille - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Lille are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season
  2. Dortmund have scored in each of their last 10 Champions League away games
  3. Lille have scored in 38 successive Ligue 1 home matches
  4. Dortmund have drawn their last 2 Champions League games
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Our Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

This is probably the hardest Champions League game to call this week and the bookies are struggling to separate the two teams in the markets. As the first leg demonstrated, these two sides are evenly matched and the tie is likely to be decided by some very fine margins. Lille have the home advantage, but Dortmund arguably have the stronger overall squad and more potential match winners in their ranks. We would not be surprised to see this go to extra time and even penalties, so our prediction for Lille vs Borussia Dortmund is: Draw after 90 minutes.

Prediction:

 

Draw after 90 minutes

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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Picks

Correct score 1-1

Odds +490
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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Picks
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