Lazio vs Roma Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
4/13/25 14:45
Roma

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day in Serie A Picks

The highlight of the Serie A weekend see fierce rivals Lazio and Roma go head to head, in a contest that is crucial to both side's hopes of making next season's Champions League. Roma have been on a roll this year, and last week's 1-1 draw with Juventus means they have now gone 15 games without tasting defeat. That run includes a convincing 2-0 victory over Lazio when the two rivals met back in January.

Despite that derby defeat, Lazio also come into this game in good domestic form and last weekend's shock victory at Atalanta pushed them to within two points of the top four. However, their hopes of European success took a huge blow on Thursday night, as they fell to a dismal 2-0 defeat at Bodo / Glimt in the first leg of their Europa League quarter final.

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Lazio vs Roma Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Lazio
Lazio
55 31 16 7 8 10
7
Roma
Roma
53 31 15 8 8 15

Lazio and Roma Latest Matches

Lazio
Lazio Latest matches
D D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League

Bodoe/Glimt
2 :  0
Lazio

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Lazio

Mar 31, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Torino FC

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
5 :  0
Lazio

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Lazio
1 :  1
Viktoria Plzen

Mar 10, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Udinese
L W D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 31, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Torino FC

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Lazio
1 :  1
Viktoria Plzen

Mar 10, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Udinese

Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Napoli

Feb 9, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
5 :  1
Monza

Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 10, 2025 - Europa League

Bodoe/Glimt
2 :  0
Lazio

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Lazio

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
5 :  0
Lazio

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Viktoria Plzen
1 :  2
Lazio

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

Feb 25, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio
Roma
Roma Latest matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

Mar 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Roma

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907

Feb 24, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Monza

Feb 20, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  2
Porto
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Roma

Feb 16, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma

Feb 13, 2025 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Roma

Feb 9, 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  1
Roma

Lazio against Roma : Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

50 %

Draw

17 %

Roma

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Jan 5, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Lazio

Apr 6, 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lazio

Jan 10, 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Roma

Nov 12, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Roma

Mar 19, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Roma

Nov 6, 2022 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Lazio

Roma v Lazio last Lineups

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

35
C. Mandas
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
13
A. Romagnoli
23
E. Hysaj
8
M. Guendouzi
5
M. Vecino
18
G. Isaksen
9
Pedro
10
M. Zaccagni
19
B. Dia
11
A. Dovbyk
92
S. El Shaarawy
18
M. Soule
3
Angelino
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
19
Z. Celik
5
E. N Dicka
15
M. Hummels
23
G. Mancini
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

Patric

N. Tavares

Midfielder

A. Ibrahimovic

Roma
Roma
Defender

S. Abdulhamid

Forward

P. Dybala

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Argentina T. Castellanos (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (13 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal N. Tavares (9 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (4 Assists)

Lazio and Roma Stats in Serie A

Lazio
Lazio
Roma
Roma
52%
Victories
48%
23%
Draw
26%
26%
Defeats
26%
3.03
Total goals per match
2.48
1.68
Goals scored per match
1.48
1.35
Goals conceded per match
1
68%
Over 2.5
42%
32%
Under 2.5
58%
65%
BTTS
48%
23%
No goals conceded
39%

Lazio - Roma Key Points

  1. There has been under 2.5 goals in each of the last 6 Rome derbies
  2. Lazio have scored just 1 goal in their last 4 games agsint Roma
  3. There have been under 2.5 goals in 7 of Roma's last 9 Serie A games
  4. Roma are undefeated in their last 15 Serie A matches
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Our Lazio vs Roma Prediction

Rome derbies are usually tight affairs and we cannot see this one being any different. Roma are arguably the form team in Serie A, but last week's victory in Atalanta demonstrated that Lazio are also hitting top gear at the right time. The key statistic that leaps out here is that each of the last 6 Rome derbies has featured under 2.5 goals. Given both sides' excellent defensive record in recent weeks (notwithstanding Lazio's shock 5-0 defeat to Bologna), we think there is every chance that this game will finish in a low scoring draw. Our prediction for Lazio vs Roma is: Draw and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Roma Picks
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