ATP - ATP Houston
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Playing in his fourth career final appearance on the ATP Tour, Jensen Brooksby will go for his first main tour title as he contests with fellow American Frances Tiafoe for the top prize at the 2025 US Men’s Clay Court Championship.
Brooksby made it to his first championship match since returning from suspension after outlasting No.1 seed Tommy Paul in an absolute classic in Houston, 7-6 (5), 3-6, 7-6 (6). Fresh off three-set wins over No.3 seed Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-4 7-6(6) and Aleksander Kovacevic 2-6 6-3 6-4, the American stepped into his showdown with Paul more prepared and battle-tested than he has ever been, and it showed in the crucial moments of this match.
Tiafoe had a rather easier path to the finals. The two-time US Open semifinalist demonstrated that he can also play well on clay court by sweeping Adam Walton of Australia 7-5 6-3, American rising star Alex Michelsen 7-5 6-1 and hard-hitting Brandon Nakashima 6-4, 7-6. Tiafoe, who has reached the final in Houston for the third consecutive time, is aiming to reclaim the title after losing to Ben Shelton last year, 5–7, 6–4, 3–6.
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Jenson Brooksby - Frances Tiafoe Key Points
- Jensen Brooksby defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 (5), 3-6, 7-6 (6) in the semifinal of the 2025 US Men’s Clay Court Championship.
- Jensen Brooksby is 8-6 in the 2025 ATP season.
- Frances Tiafoe defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4, 7-6 in the semifinal of the 2025 US Men’s Clay Court Championship.
- Frances Tiafoe is also 8-6 in the 2025 ATP season.
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Our Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
Frances Tiafoe’s goal of reclaiming the 2025 US Men’s Clay Court Championship title is being threatened by the rise of Jensen Brooksby. Jenson Brooksby has played top-level tennis in the past week, downing a few prominent names, including clay court expert Alejandro Tabilo and No.1 seed Tommy Paul. After surviving a hat trick of three-setters, Brooksby takes on this tournament's three-time finalist and former champion. However, I would assume that Brooksby is coming into the championship match, oozing confidence not only because of his tremendous run in this tourney but also because of his 2-0 record against Tiafoe in their head-to-head matches. Tiafoe is the kind of player who never gives up easily. I feel he will engage in a back-and-forth battle with Brooksby, trying to draw his opponent into long rallies to force him to commit mistakes. But seeing Brooksby play brilliantly this week, I doubt he would turn into an error machine like Tiafoe would want him to be. Instead, he would go on to gain more success from effective counterpunching and court coverage. Our betting prediction for Jenson Brooksby vs. Frances Tiafoe: Jenson Brooksby will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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