Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 7 Great Britain
Jack Draper
3/8/25 14:00
ATP 60 Brazil
Joao Fonseca

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+135
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Indian Wells Picks

There's plenty of action for bettors to get stuck into at the ATP event in Indian Wells on Saturday, officially known as the BNP Paribas Open. One of the more interesting contests, certainly from a value betting angle, is the one between Jack Draper and Joao Fonseca. 

British player Jack Draper has certainly enjoyed himself in the last six months or so. He's been playing some top-tier tennis, especially on hard courts, and that's why he has risen to a rather lofty 14 in the ATP rankings, and let's be honest, there seems to be little reason as to why he cannot climb higher. Draper comes into this tournament having reached the final in Doha a few weeks ago, so he'll certainly be looking to go deep here. 

Another bright young player, Joao Fonseca has also had a pleasing last six months or so, with the Brazilian not quite ranking as high as Draper, but it probably won't be long, especially if he continues to improve. Having switched to clay for an event in Buenos Aires recently, an event that he won, Fonseca returned to a hard surface with a win over Jacob Fearnley on Thursday. With that under his belt, he'll be looking to kick on. 

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Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Form

Jack Draper and Joao Fonseca Latest Matches

Jack Draper Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 22, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Jack Draper
1 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Feb 21, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Jack Draper

Feb 20, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Matteo Berrettini
1 :  2
Jack Draper

Feb 19, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Christopher O'Connell
0 :  2
Jack Draper

Feb 17, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Jack Draper

Jan 19, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jack Draper
abort
Carlos Alcaraz
Joao Fonseca Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 6, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Jacob Fearnley
1 :  2
Joao Fonseca

Feb 18, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Joao Fonseca
0 :  2
Alexandre Muller

Feb 16, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

Feb 15, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Laslo Djere
1 :  2
Joao Fonseca

Feb 14, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Joao Fonseca
2 :  1
Mariano Navone

Feb 13, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Joao Fonseca
2 :  1
Federico Coria
Compare Jack Draper and Joao Fonseca with our comparison tool.

Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca Key Points

  1. Each of Jack Draper's last three matches has contained more than two sets.
  2. Jack Draper has only lost in straight sets once since September 2024.
  3. Joao Fonseca has lost in straight sets once since November 2024.
  4. Four of Joao Fonseca's last six matches have contained more than two sets.
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Our Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Let's face it, this has the makings of an excellent match between two rapidly improving talents, and I'm not quite sure that the early market reflects that enough. In other words, both players are in great form and are unlikely to go down without a serious fight, so a tight, three-set match where there's little to separate the players seems a little more likely than the early odds suggest. After all, neither player has made a habit of losing in straight sets, so don't be surprised if this one goes the distance. I certainly won't be. Our Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Prediction: Over 2.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+135
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Picks
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