Italy vs Germany Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3/20/25 15:45
Germany

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-145
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Soccer Picks

The UEFA Nations League brings a heavyweight clash as Italy takes on Germany on March 20, 2025, at 19:45. This match, set to take place at the iconic San Siro in Milan, features two of Europe’s most successful footballing nations.

Italy, the four-time World Cup winners, have experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent years. After their triumphant Euro 2020 campaign, they missed out on the 2022 FIFA World Cup, and have since been on a mission to rebuild under manager Luciano Spalletti. The Azzurri remain a defensive powerhouse, with the likes of Alessandro Bastoni and Giovanni Di Lorenzo anchoring the backline, but they have struggled to find a consistent goal scorer up front. Federico Chiesa and Gianluca Scamacca will be crucial in breaking down Germany’s defense.

Germany, meanwhile, prepares to host Euro 2024. Under Julian Nagelsmann, Die Mannschaft has focused on youth development, blending experienced stars like Joshua Kimmich and Antonio Rüdiger with exciting young talents such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz. Despite their attacking firepower, Germany’s inconsistency in big matches has been a concern, and their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in recent tournaments.

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Italy vs Germany Form

Italy and Germany Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  3
France

Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
Italy

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
4 :  1
Israel

Oct 10, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

Sep 9, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
1 :  2
Italy

Sep 6, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  3
Italy
D W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  3
France

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
4 :  1
Israel

Oct 10, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Albania

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkey
L D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
Italy

Sep 9, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
1 :  2
Italy

Sep 6, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  3
Italy

Jun 29, 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
2 :  0
Italy

Jun 24, 2024 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  1
Italy

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy
Germany
Germany Latest matches
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 19, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  1
Germany

Nov 16, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
7 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  0
Netherlands

Oct 11, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Germany

Sep 10, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Germany

Sep 7, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
5 :  0
Hungary
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 16, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
7 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  0
Netherlands

Sep 7, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
5 :  0
Hungary

Jun 29, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Denmark

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Germany
2 :  0
Hungary

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland
W D L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 19, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  1
Germany

Oct 11, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Germany

Sep 10, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Germany

Jul 5, 2024 - Euro

Spain
2 :  1
Germany

Jun 23, 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
1 :  1
Germany

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Italy against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

0 %

Draw

67 %

Germany

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Jun 14, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
5 :  2
Italy

Jun 4, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Germany

Nov 15, 2016 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Germany

Germany v Italy last Lineups

Italy

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

13
G. Vicario
22
G. Di Lorenzo
4
A. Buongiorno
21
A. Bastoni
20
A. Cambiaso
16
D. Frattesi
5
M. Locatelli
8
S. Tonali
3
F. Dimarco
18
N. Barella
9
M. Retegui
20
S. Gnabry
11
C. Fuhrich
14
J. Brandt
19
L. Sane
8
R. Andrich
13
F. Nmecha
23
B. Henrichs
15
N. Schlotterbeck
3
R. Koch
6
J. Kimmich
1
A. Nubel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Germany

Missing players

Italy
Italy
Forward

D. Maldini

Germany
Germany

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Germany
Top Goalscorer
Italy D. Frattesi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany F. Wirtz (3 Goals) Germany D. Undav (3 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (4 Assists)
Best assists
Germany J. Musiala (3 Assists)
Germany F. Wirtz (3 Assists)

Italy and Germany Stats in UEFA Nations League

Italy
Italy
Germany
Germany
67%
Victories
67%
17%
Draw
33%
17%
Defeats
0%
3.5
Total goals per match
3.67
2.17
Goals scored per match
3
1.33
Goals conceded per match
0.67
83%
Over 2.5
67%
17%
Under 2.5
33%
83%
BTTS
50%
17%
No goals conceded
50%

Italy - Germany Key Points

  1. Italy has won four of their last six matches.
  2. Germany struggled in major competitions recently, winning only two of their last five Nations League matches.
  3. Germany has struggled with top European teams like Spain, France, and Netherlands in their last encounters.
  4. Four of the last six games between these sides have produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Italy vs Germany Prediction

Italy will rely on their home advantage and defensive discipline to contain Germany’s attacking threats. However, their struggles in the final third may limit their ability to put pressure on the German backline. Germany, on the other hand, will look to dominate possession and create chances through their dynamic midfield. Given Italy’s defensive strength and Germany’s attacking unpredictability, this game could be a tight, low-scoring affair. Our prediction for Italy vs Germany: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

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Italy vs Germany Picks
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