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Italy vs Albania Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Stephen Abiola | in Euro Picks
Albania is in what is potentially the' group of death' in the Euro 2024 competition. They play their first match against the two-time champions, Italy, on Saturday, knowing nothing short of a win would guarantee their future in this tournament. However, Italy cannot afford to underestimate the resurgent Red and Blacks, who had some unbelievable results in the qualifiers. They won Group E after going on an eight-match winning streak that saw them win against the Czech Republic and Poland. Even better, they did it without important players like Broja, Kumbulla, and Manaj. However, Italy is just a different opponent, especially with a trophy in sight.
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Italy vs Albania Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Italy and Albania Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 - Euro
Nov 17, 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2023 - Euro
Oct 14, 2023 - Euro
Sep 12, 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 - Euro
Oct 17, 2023 - Euro
Sep 9, 2023 - Euro
Jun 18, 2023 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 15, 2023 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 - Euro
Nov 17, 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 - Euro
Oct 12, 2023 - Euro
Sep 10, 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 25, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2023 - Euro
Sep 7, 2023 - Euro
Jun 20, 2023 - Euro
Mar 27, 2023 - Euro
Sep 24, 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Italy against Albania : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 16, 2022 - International Friendlies
Oct 9, 2017 - World Cup
Mar 24, 2017 - World Cup
Italy - Albania: Form Analysis
Italy enters the Euros on a 27-game unbeaten streak after playing exciting football. The current side prefers to keep possession, with players like Jorginho and Chiesa providing excellent creative outlets. In their last 10 matches, they have an average of 56.0% possession and 2.0 goals from 4.2 shots on target. In the process, Italy has picked up five wins, two draws, and three losses. Italy hasn't lost any match since losing to England 3-1 in the Qualifiers. In addition, their defense has immensely improved, conceding only 3 goals in their last six outings while keeping clean sheets in four games.
Italy hasn't lost any match since losing to England 3-1 in the Qualifiers
Albania, on the other side, is enjoying an excellent form in the international scene. They have picked up five wins, three draws, and two losses in their last 10 matchups. Earlier this month, they won 3-1 against Azerbaijan and 3-0 against Liechtenstein. These wins again highlighted their offensive prowess, which has seen them average 1.4 goals from every 3.8 shots on target. Also, Albania isn't obsessed with keeping the ball, with a possession rate of 53.3%. This means they could prefer to let Italy play the ball and hit them on the counter this weekend. These teams have met four times, and Italy has always won.
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Italy against Albania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Italy & Albania Squad Analysis
Italy appointed Luciano Spalletti after Roberto Mancini left for Saudi Arabia. This managerial change means they are the underdogs in this tournament. This might work in their favor, just like last time. This year, their rock-solid defensive duo of Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci will cheer from home. In their absence, Donnarumma, Bastioni, and Barella must step up. Another player to watch is Inter's Davide Frattesi, who played five matches in the qualifiers and scored three goals. He'll be crucial in attack without the out-of-form Ciro Immobile, who didn't make it to the final squad.
Albania also changed its managerial ranks after appointing former Arsenal and Barcelona player Sylvinho as head coach in January 2023. The Brazilian oversaw an exceptional transformation of fortunes for the national team. He has got the best out of players like Mario Mitaj and Arbnor Muja, who had never tasted international football. Under Sylvinho's management, Kristjan Asllani has perfectly articulated his midfield capabilities by linking up play. Jasir Asani has also scored 3 goals and made 2 assists in the last 10 matches. We expect them to deploy their counterattacking football in all group matches.
Most goals and assists
Italy
Albania
N. Barella
(1 Goals)
,
A. Bastoni
(1 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(1 Goals)
N. Bajrami
(1 Goals)
,
K. Gjasula
(1 Goals)
,
Q. Laci
(1 Goals)
L. Pellegrini
(1 Assists)
,
R. Calafiori
(1 Assists)
J. Asani
(1 Assists)
Italy - Albania Key Points
- Italy has scored in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Albania have scored in 7 of their last 10 matches.
- Italy has lost just once in their last 10 matches.
- Albania has a record of just one win in the Euro Championships
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Our Italy vs Albania Prediction
Spalletti and his men are in a good mood after winning three of their four friendlies this year. The Azzurri will count on Frattesi to unlock the solid Albanian defense after netting the most goals in the qualifying stages. As for Albania, they defied all odds to top their group, which shouldn't be underestimated here. They also have a few players in the Serie A, meaning they could be facing a familiar opponent. Can they finally get a win against the defending champions? That seems highly unlikely. Our prediction for Italy vs Albania: Both teams to score!
Italy vs Albania - Other Interesting Picks
Scamacca likely to score
Italy has several goalscorers in their ranks, with Chiesa, Frattesi, and Scamacca capable of scoring at any moment. Scamacca is the most likely goalscorer in this matchup after an eventful Serie A season with Atalanta. He scored 12 goals and assisted 6 in 29 matches for his club. We're backing him to score at any moment on Saturday.
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