Europe - Champions League
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by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks
Serie A leaders Inter Milan take a narrow 2-1 lead into the second leg of their Champions League quarter final showdown with Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich. The Italian giants had their backs to the wall for large chunks of last week's first leg in Munich, but rode their luck early on and took the lead through a crisp Lautaro Martinez strike at the end of a flowing counter attack.
Bayern piled on the pressure after the break, but it took until the 85th minute for them to draw level, when veteran forward Thomas Muller turned in a low cross from Konrad Laimer. Bayern then poured forward in search of a winner, but were once again undone on the break when Davide Frattesi fired home a Carlos Augusto cross with just two minutes remaining to give Inter a precious first leg advantage.
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Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Form
Inter Milan and Bayern Munich Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League
Inter Milan against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2022 - Champions League
Sep 7, 2022 - Champions League
Inter Milan - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Inter have been in scintillating form since the turn of the year and are now 12 games unbeaten in all competitions. Saturday night's hard fought 3-1 victory over Caligari moved Simone Inzaghi's side six points clear in Serie A and they remain on course to win their third Scudetto in five seasons. They have been really impressive in Europe, and last week's first leg victory was their ninth success in their last 10 Champions League games.
Bayern having a wobble
Despite their healthy six point lead in the Bundesliga standings, Bayern have been far from convincing in recent weeks. Saturday's 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund means Vincent Kompany's men have won just three of their last six games, and in truth, two of those three victories have been extremely fortuitous. Their European form has also been less than optimal this season, and three defeats in their eight matches during the league phase meant they finished down in 12th place.
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Inter Milan against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
M. Neuer
DefenderT. Buchmann
D. Upamecano
H. Ito
MidfielderA. Davies
J. Musiala
Inter Milan & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Inter got through Saturday's game with Caligari without picking up any fresh injuries, but will still be without the likes of Denzel Dumfries, Mehdi Taremi and Piotr Zielinski. As such, Inzaghi is likely to start with the same eleven that began last week's game in Munich.
Likely Inter starting eleven: Sommer; Acerbi, Bisseck, Bastoni; Darmian, Calhanoglu, Frattesi, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Martinez
Key players out for Bayern
Bayern coach Vincent Kompany has a lengthy injury list to deal with ahead of Wednesday's clash. Key players including Jamal Musiala, Kingsley Coman, Alphonso Davies and Dayot Upamecano are all long term absences, whilst goalkeeper Manuel Neuer faces a race against time to be fit following a torn muscle suffered in early March. In the absence of Neuer, Jonas Urbig will continue in goal, whilst legendary forward Thomas Mueller is likely to start in what could be his last ever European game for the club.
Possible Bayern starting eleven: Urbig; Laimer, Kim, Dier, Guerreiro; Palhinha, Kimmich; Olise, Muller, Sane; Kane
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Bayern Munich
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
M. Olise
(13 Assists)
Inter Milan - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Inter are unbeaten in 12 matches
- Both teams have scored in each of Bayern's last 5 games
- Bayern have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 away games
- Both teams have scored in each of Inter's last 5 games
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Our Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Prediction
This is the most delicately poised of the four quarter final matchups, but we think Inter will have enough quality to make the semi finals. Inzaghi's side have found their best form at exactly the right time and we would not be surprised to see them go all the way to the final. In contrast, Bayern have hit a few stumbling blocks over the last few weeks, and look extremely vulnerable in defense. We expect Bayern to score at some point, but overall, Inter look to be the stronger outfit.
Our prediction for Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich: Inter to win and teams to score.
Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Picks
Lautaro Martinez to score at any time
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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