USA - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
20 Dec 2024 20:00
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Prediction:

 

Indiana +7.5

-115
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IU Bloomington Hoosiers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction & Picks - NCAA

 by Travis Pulver in NCAA Picks

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish get to host the first college football playoff game in the CFP’s new 12-team bracket. Another team from the Hoosier State is their opponent for this historic game, a school just a couple hundred miles away in Indiana. The action gets underway on Friday, Dec. 20, at 8 p.m. ET. ABC will broadcast the game. It will be just the 29th meeting between these two institutions since they first played in 1898 and the first since 1991. Not surprisingly, Notre Dame has dominated the traditional basketball school (Indiana) 23-5-1. But with the arrival of new head coach Curt Cignetti this season, something crazy has happened—Indiana has morphed into a football school.

While the strength of their schedule is questionable, the Hoosiers have been dominant on both sides of the ball this season (No. 2 scoring offense in the country—40.3 ppg; No. 6 defense—15.7 ppg allowed). However, Notre Dame posted similar stats this season, ranking just behind Indiana in scoring offense (No. 3- 39.8) and slightly better on defense (No. 3—13.6 ppg allowed). Notre Dame will likely lean hard on their run game (No. 11—224.8 ypg) to keep the IU offense and quarterback Kurtis Rourke off the field. Indiana may try to lean on Rourke and the passing game to get out to an early lead on the Fighting Irish and hopefully force them to abandon the run.

But that will not be easy against Notre Dame’s No. 3 pass defense.

IU Bloomington Hoosiers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Form

IU Bloomington Hoosiers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish Latest Matches

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
IU Bloomington Hoosiers Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Purdue Boilermakers
0 :  66
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
15 :  38
Ohio State Buckeyes

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan Wolverines
15 :  20
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
47 :  10
Michigan State Spartans

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Washington Huskies
17 :  31
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Nebraska Cornhuskers
7 :  56
IU Bloomington Hoosiers
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Purdue Boilermakers
0 :  66
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan Wolverines
15 :  20
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Washington Huskies
17 :  31
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Nebraska Cornhuskers
7 :  56
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Maryland Terrapins
28 :  42
IU Bloomington Hoosiers

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Charlotte 49ers
14 :  52
IU Bloomington Hoosiers
W W W L
Victories

3/4 (75%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

1/4 (25%)

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
15 :  38
Ohio State Buckeyes

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
47 :  10
Michigan State Spartans

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
41 :  24
Northwestern Wildcats

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

IU Bloomington Hoosiers
42 :  13
UCLA Bruins
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Army Black Knights
14 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
14 :  35
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51 :  14
Navy Midshipmen

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
31 :  13
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Army Black Knights
14 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
14 :  35
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
3 :  52
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

Stanford Cardinal
7 :  49
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
24 :  31
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Ohio RedHawks
3 :  28
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W W W W W
Victories

5/5 (100%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

0/5 (0%)

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
49 :  35
USC Trojans

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51 :  14
Navy Midshipmen

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
31 :  13
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
66 :  7
Purdue Boilermakers

Aug 31, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23 :  13
Texas A&M Aggies

IU Bloomington Hoosiers - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Key Points

  1. Indiana opened as an 8.5-point underdog, but the line has since shifted to +7.5 or +7, depending on the sportsbook.
  2. Only 14% of moneyline tickets are on Indiana, but 91% of the moneyline handle is on the Hoosiers.
  3. Bets on the spread are practically split, with 49% of tickets on Indiana and 51% for Notre Dame, but the handle is split 50/50.
  4. Under Marcus Freeman, Notre Dame is 13-3 SU when favored at home and 8-7-1 ATS.

Our IU Bloomington Hoosiers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction

Indiana has to make the most out of the most efficient passing game in the country. They need to push the pace, wear the Notre Dame defense down, and score with almost every if not every, possession. They need to build an early lead in order to force Notre Dame to pass more than they want to. Notre Dame passes well enough to complement its run game but not well enough to lean on it. Indiana had the No. 1 run defense in the Big Ten and only allowed 100+ yards four times. If they can slow the Notre Dame run game down, Indiana can control the pace and effectively the outcome of the game.

However, as much as I want to say the Hoosiers will win, the better bet is to count on this being a competitive game decided by one score.

Our Indiana vs. Notre Dame Prediction: Indiana +7.5

Prediction:

 

Indiana +7.5

-115
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IU Bloomington Hoosiers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Picks