ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 16 Poland
Hubert Hurkacz
30 Apr 2024 06:35
ATP 4 USA
Taylor Fritz

Prediction:

 

Hubert Hurkacz to Win

+105
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Hubert Hurkacz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Things start to get a little more serious at the ATP event in Madrid on Tuesday. We've reached the last 16 and in this match world number Hubert Hurkacz takes on world number 13 Taylor Fritz. Despite being ranked slightly below his Polish opponent here, the US player is more favoured in the early betting. He did beat Hurkacz when the pair last met, but that wasn't on clay. This is likely to be tougher, so there's a case to be made for the higher-ranked player at decent odds.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Taylor Fritz Form

Hubert Hurkacz and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches

Hubert Hurkacz Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 28, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Daniel Altmaier

Apr 26, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Jack Draper

Apr 11, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 10, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Apr 9, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Jack Draper

Apr 7, 2024 - ATP Estoril Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz
Taylor Fritz Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 28, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Apr 26, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Apr 21, 2024 - ATP Munich Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff

Apr 20, 2024 - ATP Munich Open

Christian Garin
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Apr 19, 2024 - ATP Munich Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Jack Draper

Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Munich Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Alejandro Moro Canas

Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Fritz Key Points

  1. Hubert Hurkacz is yet to lose to a lower-ranked player on clay this season.
  2. No clay venue on the ATP this season has a higher serve hold percentage than Madrid.
  3. Hurkacz currently holds his serve 85% of the time.
  4. In slight contrast to Hurkacz, Fritz holds his serve 83% of the time.

Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Listen, this is a match between two very good players. Two in-form players. However, it's hard to argue that Hurkacz should be the narrow outsider here. Not only is he ranekd marginally above Fritz, but he does a slightly better job of winning his service games, which is key on clay-courts such as the ones in Madrid. If we combine this with the fact that the Pole is yet to lose to a lower-ranked player on clay this season, the odds that are available at the time of writing are hard to ignore. Our Prediction: Hubert Hurkacz to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Hubert Hurkacz to Win

+105
$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Taylor Fritz Picks