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by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks
The Miami Heat (29-40) visit the Houston Rockets (45-25) on Friday, March 21, 2025, at the Toyota Center.
The Rockets are clicking on all fronts, as they're riding an impressive eight-game winning streak. They outscored their opponents by an average margin of 14.5 points in that span. Moreover, they have increased their offensive rating to 124.4, almost a 10-point increase than their average of 114.7.
Meanwhile, the Heat is struggling mightily, having lost their last nine games. Their offensive rating has gone down to a paltry 107.0, almost a five-point decrease from their season average of 111.9. There was even a span of three straight games when they failed to reach 96 points as a team.
You can't easily count out an Eric Spoelstra-coached team, but the Heat also seems mind-boggled by their recent struggles. The Rockets should be able to take advantage with their improving offense and third-ranked defense (110.1).
Houston's two-way wing Amen Thompson is also expected to return after a six-game absence due to a foot injury. The Rockets could get back their best wing defender who also produces 14.0 points and 3.6 assists. This spells more trouble for Miami.
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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.643 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 8 |
|
10
|
0.42 | 69 | 29 | 40 | -9 |
Houston Rockets and Miami Heat Latest Matches
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Houston Rockets against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)
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Houston Rockets - Miami Heat Key Points
- The Rockets have increased their offensive rating to 124.4 in the last eight games.
- The Heat's offensive rating has decreased to 107.0.
- The Rockets own the third-best defensive rating (110.1) in the league.
- Amen Thompson could return after a six-game absence.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami's offense has boggled down in their current nine-game losing streak. In that span, they produced a 107.0 offensive rating, which is very bad in NBA terms. It also doesn't help that they're facing a defensive-minded Rockets squad.
Amen Thompson is also expected to return after a six-game injury absence. That gives the Rockets their best defender back, which is trouble for the Heat. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets match is: Rockets (-5.5) cover the spread.Grab an extra $200 for your Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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