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by Matt Lowrimore in NCAA Basketball Picks
The second Final Four game on Saturday will see the 1st-seeded Duke Blue Devils from the East Region take on the 1st-seeded Houston Cougars from the Midwest Region. Let's take a closer look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Blue Devils and Cougars.
Duke enters this game with a record of 35-3. The Blue Devils won the East Region by beating the Alabama Crimson Tide this past Saturday by a score of 85-65. Duke had four of their five starters score in double figures and were led by Kon Knueppel, who scored a game-high 21 points while shooting 6 of 15 from the field and 2 of 4 from the three-point line.
As for Houston, they enter this game with a record of 34-4. The Cougars won the Midwest Region this past Sunday, beating the Tennessee Volunteers by a score of 69-50. Houston had two players score in double figures, that being Emanuel Sharp, who scored 16 points, and LJ Cryer, who scored a game high 17 points.
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Houston vs Duke Form
Houston and Duke Latest Matches
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Houston against Duke : Head to Head (H2H)
Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball
Houston - Duke: Form Analysis
Houston and Duke are two of the hottest teams in the country as they prepared to face each other for a spot in the National Championship game. The Cougars have won 17 games in a row, going back to early February. Houston's last loss was against Texas Tech at home on February 1st, where they lost by a score of 82-81.
During their win streak, the Cougars won the Big 12 Championship in dominant fashion and have won their NCAA tournament games by an average margin of 16 points per game.
Duke are in top form, having won their last 15 games.
The last loss for the Blue Devils was on February 8th when they lost to Clemson on the road by a score of 77-71. During their win streak, Duke won the ACC tournament and did so without their star player, Cooper Flagg, as he suffered an injury in the first-round of the ACC tournament.
Duke has also dominated their opponents in the NCAA tournament so far, winning their games by an average margin of 23.5 points.
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Houston & Duke Squad Analysis
Both Duke and Houston are loaded with talent, but a few players stand out on both sides. Starting with Duke, their top players have been Kon Knueppel, Tyrese Proctor, and Cooper Flagg. Knueppel is averaging 14.8 points per game in the NCAA tournament, Proctor is averaging 17 points per game, and Flagg is averaging 19 points per game.
In Duke's first-round game against Mount St. Mary's, Knueppel scored 6 points, Proctor scored 19 points, and Flagg scored 14 points. In the second-round against Baylor, Knueppel scored 12 points, Proctor scored 25 points, and Flagg scored 18 points.
The Sweet 16 game against Arizona saw Knueppel score 20 points, Proctor score 7 points, and Flagg score 30 points. Finally, in the Elite 8 game against Alabama, Knueppel scored 21 points, Proctor scored 17 points, and Flagg scored 16 points.
For Houston, their stand-out players have been LJ Cryer and Emanuel Sharp.
Cryer is averaging 16.8 points per game, and Sharp is averaging 13.3 points per game. In Houston's first-round game against SIEU, Cryer scored 15 points, and Sharp scored 8 points. In the Cougars' second-round game against Gonzaga, Cryer scored 30 points, and Sharp scored 12 points.
In the Sweet 16 game against Purdue, we saw Cryer score 5 points and Sharp score 17 points. Finally, against Tennessee in the Elite 8, Cryer scored 17 points, and Sharp scored 16 points.
Houston - Duke Key Points
- Duke is averaging 91.8 points per game in the tournament
- Duke is allowing 68.3 points per game in the tournament
- The Over is 3-1 in Duke's last 4 games
- Houston is averaging 72.5 points per game in the tournament
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Our Houston vs Duke Prediction
This game has conflicting styles, as Houston is an elite defensive team while Duke is an elite offensive team. However, the Cougars have shown they can play at a fast pace and score if they need to.
Houston has only seen one of their four tournament games go over the total and that was against Gonzaga, another team that has an elite offense.
Duke is averaging 91.8 points in their tournament games so even though they are playing Houston's elite defense, they should find some success. With that, it is very unlikely that the Cougars are going to get blown out and therefore, will need to play at a faster pace to keep up. For that reason, our Duke Blue Devils vs Houston Cougars prediction is over 136.5.Houston vs Duke - Other Interesting Picks
Milos Uzan to make 2+ threes
Our second prediction for this game will target Milos Uzan from the Houston Cougars to make 2+ threes. Uzan has been Houston's best three-point shooter this season, averaging 44.5% from three-point range. In the NCAA tournament, Uzan made 2+ threes in two of the four games.
Overall, Uzan has shot 9 of 15 (60%) from the three-point line throughout the NCAA tournament; therefore, our second Duke Blue Devils vs Houston Cougars prediction is Milos Uzan to make 2+ threes.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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