ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Grigor Dimitrov of Bulgaria seeks a third consecutive fourth-round stint on Monday, taking on Jacob Fearnley of Great Britain in the round of 32 of the 2025 Mutua Madrid Masters.
Dimitrov swept Nicolas Jarry in straight sets 6-3 6-4 to reach the third round of the Madrid Masters. The Bulgarian controlled the pace by winning 23 first-serve points and seizing two crucial breakpoints that allowed him to put the fiery Chilean away for good. Dimitrov can reach his third straight ATP 1000 round of 16 if he beats Fearnley on Monday.
Fearnley has now racked up four consecutive victory to reach the round of 16 in Madrid. The Brit rallied from a set down to beat Tomas Machac of Czech Republic 1-6 6-3 6-2. Fearnley collected 36 points off his first serves and broke Machac’s serves three times.
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Grigor Dimitrov vs Jacob Fearnley Form
Grigor Dimitrov and Jacob Fearnley Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 28, 2025 - ATP Miami
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 22, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley Key Points
- Grigor Dimitrov defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Grigor Dimitrov has a 62.2 percent win rate on clay.
- Jacob Fearnley defeated Tomas Machac 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Jacob Fearnley has won four consecutive games to reach the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Grigori Dimitrov leans on his experience again to beat Jacob Fearnley.
Fearnley has a bit of momentum after racking up four wins in a row, including a gutsy three-set win over Machac in the second round. However, I still don’t believe he can beat a much more experienced Dimitrov, who reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters. Fearnley, 18-9 in the season, has a career 1-4 record against ATP top-20 players. Meanwhile, this year, Dimitrov carries a 3-0 record in third-round matches. Fearnley will have his moments in the match, yet I still think he won’t win or even take a set against Dimitrov. Our betting prediction for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Jacob Fearnley: Grigor Dimitrov will cover -3.5 games.
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