Greece vs Germany Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks
A titanic clash between Europe’s basketball juggernauts Germany and Greece will kick off the quarterfinal phase of men’s 5x5 basketball competition at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Germany breezed through the preliminary stages with dominant victories over Japan 97-77, Brazil 73-86, and host country France 71-85. Germany is the defending FIBA World Cup champion and the country is looking to add a gold medal to its collection of international basketball hardware. Meanwhile, Greece caught the last bus to the quarterfinals after putting up a scintillating win over Australia 77-71 in the final games of the preliminary stages. They lost their first two games against Canada 79-86 and Spain 84-77 but the win over the Aussie should be enough to secure the last spot in the quarterfinals. Led by NBA superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Greeks hope they can make another deep run in the Olympics and land a place on the podium for the first time in the country’s history.
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Greece vs Germany Form
Greece and Germany Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 16, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 7, 2024 - Olympic Games, Qualification Playoffs
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 13, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Greece against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)
Sep 13, 2022 - EuroBasket
Greece - Germany: Form Analysis
Germany compiled a perfect 3-0 record in Group B, scoring 89.3 points per game on a 62.8% true shooting. The reigning World Cup champion thrives in a slow-paced tempo at 72.45 ball possession per 40 minutes. On the other hand, Greece averaged 77.7 points per game across three games in Group A. They also corralled in 32.7 rebounds per contest while dishing out 21.7 dimes a game. Germany have won four of their last five games while Greece sports a 3-2 record.
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Greece & Germany Squad Analysis
Orlando Magic star Franz Wagner leads the way in scoring for the Germans with his 21.7 points per game. Dennis Schroder is averaging a near double-double with 19.7 points and 9.0 assist per contest. Germany is also getting key contribution from Isaac Bonga (11.0 ppg), Daniel Theis (7.0 rpg) and Moritz Wagner (2.3 apg). Greece has relied heavily on their star player Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averaged 27.0 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists in this Olympic Games. Giannis is getting help from Vasileios Toliopoulos (12.0 ppg) and Thomas Walkup (9.3 ppg). Former NBA player Nick Calathes is the team’s main playmaker with his 7.3 assists per game.
Greece - Germany Key Points
- Giannis Antetokounmpo averaged 27.0 points in three games at the Paris Olympics.
- Germany is scoring almost 90 points per game while holding their opponents under 80 points.
- Germany is the reigning FIBA World Cup champion.
- Greece leads head-to-head series 10-4 but Germany won the last two convincingly.
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Our Greece vs Germany Prediction
leads head-to-head series with Germany 10-4 but the latter won the last two in dominant fashion. Germany defeated the Greeks 107-96 in FIBA EuroBasket and then repeated in an international friendly last year 84-71. The Germans are playing at a high level right now to the point that more basketball analysts believe they are the only team that can provide Team USA a run for their money if their roads cross paths in the finals. Expect Giannis to pile up his usual monster numbers but his individual brilliance won’t be enough to stop the reigning world champs from winning this match. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Greece: Bet on Germany to win, -350, at BetMGM.
Greece vs Germany - Other Interesting Picks
Total Under 161.5 points
I am impressed with Germany’s defense, which managed to hold Brazil, France, and Japan under 80 points. Germany parades a tall, talented frontline of Isaac Bonga, Theis, and the Wagner brothers that has presented a lot of problems for their previous opponents. While I don’t know if they can stop Giannis from scoring over 30, I am confident that their defense will hold Germany under their tournament average of 77.7 points per game. With Ceasar Sportsbook listing the total at 161.5 points, I just can’t see Greece putting enough points on Germany’s relentless defense to help the total exceed 161 points—our betting prediction: Under 161.5 points, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points,
Giannis Antetokounmpo has emerged as the tournament's leading scorer after group play, with 27.0 points per game. I expect Giannis to play more aggressively on offense after being limited to 20 points by Australia in their most recent contest. Giannis' propensity to unleash enormous numbers against Germany should no longer be questioned, having scored 31 points on the same team at the 2022 EuroBasket. Our betting prediction for Germany vs Greece: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points, +100, at DraftKings.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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