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by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks
The Golden State Warriors visit the Houston Rockets for Game 5 of their 2025 first-round playoff matchup on April 30, Wednesday, at the Toyota Center.
The 2nd-seeded Rockets' season is now in peril, as they trail the Warriors, 3-1. It has been a low-scoring, grind-it-out series, a type of game that apparently favors the more veteran Warriors squad. Only one game in this series (Game 4) breached a combined 204 points for both teams.
Speaking of Game 4, Jimmy Butler III was a huge difference in the Warriors victory. With Steph Curry only scoring 17, Butler came through in the second half and finished with 27 points on 12-12 free throw shooting. Butler is surely not new to these physical and rough playoff games.
As for the Rockets, there's much room for optimism. They lost Game 4 by only three points, and their young center Alperen Sengun finished with 31 points and 10 rebounds. They need more from the struggling Jalen Green, but a trip back home could boost their morale.
With the way it has been all series long, expect Game 5 to be a slow-grinding match that could go either way. The longer this series goes, the more favorable it will be for the fresher legs of the young Rockets squad.
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Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Form
Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
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1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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Golden State Warriors against Houston Rockets : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Golden State Warriors - Houston Rockets Key Points
- Three of the four games in this series failed to go over the combined total of 203 points.
- The Warriors only have a 111.6 offensive rating in this series.
- The Rockets only have a 109.1 offensive rating in this series.
- In the last two games, Rockets star Jalen Green produced measly numbers of 8.5 points and 36.8% field goal shooting.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Both the Warriors and the Rockets produced below 111.7 offensive rating in the first four games of the series. This is four points below their respective season averages, a testament to how the game changes in the playoffs.
With a combination of strong defense and unlucky shooting, we saw low-scoring battles between the Warriors and the Rockets. Expect more of the same in Game 5, as the Rockets fight off elimination at their home grounds. Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors match is: under 204.5.Grab an extra $250 for your Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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