Europe - Euro

Germany
19 Jun 2024 12:00
Hungary

Prediction:

 

Germany to win and over 3.5 goals

+170
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Germany vs Hungary Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Simon Day | in Euro Picks

Germany will book their place in the second round of Euro 2024, if they defeat a Hungary side looking to bounce back from a 3-1 defeat to Switzerland. German expectations were relatively low coming into the tournament, but the opening day demolition of Scotland has got fans believing that a first European trophy in 28 years could be on the way. With young stars like Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz causing chaos in attacking areas, plus the experience of Toni Kroos pulling the strings in midfield, this looks like a German side ready to mount a serious challenge for glory. 

The defeat to Switzerland has left Hungary in a very precarious position. Another defeat on game day 2 would put their qualification hopes in serious peril, even if they were to defeat Scotland in their final game. On the plus side, the second half display against the Swiss was very encouraging and they were slightly unfortunate not to get a point from the game. If they can replicate that performance on Wednesday, they do have a chance of causing a shock. 

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Germany vs Hungary Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Germany
Germany
7 3 2 1 0 6
3
Hungary
Hungary
3 3 1 0 2 -3

Germany and Hungary Latest Matches

Germany
Germany Latest matches
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Netherlands

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies

Austria
2 :  0
Germany
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 14, 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Greece

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
0 :  0
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
Netherlands

Nov 18, 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  3
Turkey

Sep 12, 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
France
W L W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies

Austria
2 :  0
Germany

Oct 14, 2023 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  3
Germany

Jun 16, 2023 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
Germany

Dec 1, 2022 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  4
Germany

Nov 27, 2022 - World Cup

Spain
1 :  1
Germany
Hungary
Hungary Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Hungary
1 :  3
Switzerland

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
3 :  0
Israel

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
2 :  1
Hungary

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  0
Kosovo

Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Turkey

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Hungary
3 :  1
Montenegro
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Hungary
1 :  3
Switzerland

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
3 :  0
Israel

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  0
Kosovo

Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Turkey

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Hungary
3 :  1
Montenegro

Oct 14, 2023 - Euro

Hungary
2 :  1
Serbia
W D W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
2 :  1
Hungary

Nov 16, 2023 - Euro

Bulgaria
2 :  2
Hungary

Oct 17, 2023 - Euro

Lithuania
2 :  2
Hungary

Sep 7, 2023 - Euro

Serbia
1 :  2
Hungary

Jun 17, 2023 - Euro

Montenegro
0 :  0
Hungary

Sep 23, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
0 :  1
Hungary

Germany against Hungary : Head to Head (H2H)

Germany

0 %

Draw

67 %

Hungary

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
0 :  1
Hungary

Jun 11, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  1
Germany

Jun 23, 2021 - Euro

Germany
2 :  2
Hungary

Germany - Hungary: Form Analysis

The 5-1 victory over Scotland means that Germany are now unbeaten in five games, a run that stretches back to November 2023. Most encouragingly for Die Mannschaft, the performances in those games have been generally very good, and a big improvement on the limp displays that saw them crash out of the 2022 World Cup at the group stage. It has now been eight years since Germany won a knockout game at a major tournament, something that Julian Nagelsman's squad will be desperate to rectify this Summer. 

Saturday's defeat to Switzerland was Hungary's first competitive loss since September 2022. They went through their entire qualifying campaign undefeated and have lost just twice in their last 17 games. After 30 years in the doldrums, this is Hungary's third consecutive appearance at the European Championships. They failed to make it out of the group stage in 2020, but reached the last 16 in 2016 before losing 0-4 to a very strong Belgium side. 

Hungary are undefeated in their last three games versus Germany, including a 1-0 Nations League success when the sides last met in 2022. The overall head to head is extremely tight, with Germany holding a very narrow 13-12 advantage. 

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Germany against Hungary Lineups: Starting 11

Germany

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
6
J. Kimmich
2
A. Rudiger
4
J. Tah
18
M. Mittelstadt
23
R. Andrich
8
T. Kroos
10
J. Musiala
21
I. Gundogan
17
F. Wirtz
7
K. Havertz
19
B. Varga
10
D. Szoboszlai
20
R. Sallai
11
M. Kerkez
13
A. Schafer
8
A. Nagy
14
B. Bolla
24
M. Dardai
6
W. Orban
5
A. Fiola
1
P. Gulacsi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Hungary

Germany & Hungary Squad Analysis

Both sides could name unchanged starting elevens for Wednesday's crucial game. Germany seem almost certain to stick with the team that found Scotland. That means no place for Niclas Fullkrug, despite his impressive, goal-scoring cameo on Friday. Kai Havertz will once again occupy the most advanced position, with Wirtz and Musiala joining Ilkay Gundogan in the attacking midfield roles. The rest of the side virtually picks itself, with veteran keeper Manuel Neur still preferred to Marc-André ter Stegen between the posts, despite the latter being in much better form. 

Hungary will probably stick to their tried and tested 5-2-2-1 formation as they look to close down space for Germany's most creative players. It took about an hour for Hungary to find their rhythm on Saturday, but when they did, they looked extremely dangerous from wide areas. Barnabas Varga missed an absolute sitter, but made up for it with a powerful goal headed shortly after. If the likes of Dominik Szoboszlai and Roland Sallai can provide Varga with ammunition, then Hungary will pose a serious attacking threat to the Germans. Despite conceding three times, goalkeeper Péter Gulácsi also played very well in the Swiss game, another strong performance will be required to give Hungary any chance of victory in their second game. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Germany
CD Huachipato Hungary
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Musiala (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary B. Varga (1 Goals) Hungary K. Csoboth (1 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Kimmich (2 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (1 Assists)
Hungary R. Sallai (1 Assists)

Germany - Hungary Key Points

  1. Hungary have scored in each of their last 10 games.
  2. Germany have scored 9 goals in their last 2 tournament games.
  3. Hungary are coming off a hard loss vs Switzerland (3-1).
  4. Germany have won 4 of their last 5 games.
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Our Germany vs Hungary Prediction

Germany were mightily impressive in their opening game, and it is hard to see Hungary being able to stop their marauding attacking threat. Musiala looks like being one of the stars of the tournament and we expect him to shine once again. That's not to say Hungary won't pose a threat themselves, and we would not be surprised to see them find a goal at some point. However, this looks like a home win all the way, with plenty of goals thrown into the bargain. Our prediction for Germany vs Hungary is: Germany to win and over 3.5 goals +170 at FanDuel.

Prediction:

 

Germany to win and over 3.5 goals

+170
$150 offered for betting!

Germany vs Hungary - Other Interesting Picks

Ilkay Gundogan first goalscorer

Odds +650
Gundogan was largely outshone by his younger teammates against Scotland, but the Barca midfielder still put up a very effective display and got into some excellent attacking positions. He's likely to enjoy more of the same against Hungary, so looks like a solid bet to open the scoring.
$150 offered for betting!

Germany to win and BTTS

Odds +175
For all of their attacking talent, Germany do not look quite so assured in defense. Neuer is in the twilight of his career, whilst Antonio Rudiger is their only truly world class defender. If Hungary can find space in wide areas, they will have an excellent chance of getting on the scoresheet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Germany vs Hungary Picks
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