Germany vs France Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks
France and Germany meet again on Thursday, but this time, the stakes are higher and the competition will be fiercer as both countries gun for a place in the gold medal match of men’s basketball at the 2024 Paris Olympics. France punched their ticket to the semifinals after properly executing a surgical game plan to knock down the previously unbeaten Canadian team. France head coach Vincent Collet abandoned the twin tower tandem of Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert by benching the latter in favor of a smaller but more mobile lineup to match up with Canada’s athleticism and speed. The strategy made wonders for the host country as they stormed to a huge early lead before holding on to an 82-73 win. After sweeping the group stages with a 3-0 slate, Germany sustained its dominance into the knockout stages as they put away Giannis Antetokounmpo and Greece with relative ease, 76-63. Germany showed out on defense, slowing down the pace of the game to hold Greece to just 63 points.
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Germany vs France Form
Germany and France Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Germany against France : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 8, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 6, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Sep 1, 2022 - EuroBasket
Germany - France: Form Analysis
France is averaging 81.3 points and 31.4 boards in the tournament. They generated 74.68 ball possession per 40 minutes, though their 7.4 assists per turnover is among worst in the tourney. After letting Germany and Japan score over 80 points, France upped its defensive work in the quarterfinals. They smothered Canada to just 73 points on 37.9 field goal shooting. Germany is scoring 86 points per game in the tournament, and at the same time, putting the clamps on their opponent. They have held all their opponents under 80 points while keeping their field goal shooting below 40%.
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Germany & France Squad Analysis
France is expected to utilize a small ball lineup against Germany; therefore, it’s unlikely Rudy Gobert will play major minutes in this match. Victor Wembanyama leads France across three major stats department, averaging 14.5 points, 11.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists. Also, watch out for Guerschon Yabusele to deliver another solid game for France after dropping 22 points on Canada. Germany will lean on the playmaking Dennis Schroder and Franz Wagner to lead the way in this win-or-go-home match. Schroder averages 18.0 points and 8.8 assists per game in the tourney, while Wagner tops his team in scoring with 20.8 points per game.
Germany - France Key Points
- Germany clobbered Greece 76-73 in QF
- France stuns previously undefeated Canada 82-73 in QF.
- Germany has held their opponent under 80 points in the tournament.
- Victor Wembanyama scored 14 points in group stage game vs, Germany
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Our Germany vs France Prediction
France dominated the head-to-head series with Germany 62-10, but their European neighbors obliterated them in the group stage, 85-71. This will be a lot tighter game than their previous match in the group stages, so expect numerous lead changes in this match. It’s definitely hard to pick a winner, but I feel that France’s coaching staff will devise another strategy to catch Germany off guard. Moreover, home-court advantage is going to be more of a factor in this match; don’t be surprised if France gets favorable calls from the officials. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. France: Bet on France to win, +170, at BetMGM.
Germany vs France - Other Interesting Picks
Total UNDER 156.5
Again, this will be a physical, low-scoring ball game where every possession counts. Germany has been successful in slowing down the pace, dissecting their opponents’ defense in half-court sets. I think France will beat Germany in their own game this time around with sharper execution of their offense. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. France: Bet on the Total UNDER 156.5 points, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.
Victor Wembanyama Under 17.5 points
Like they did against Greece, Germany is going to slow down the pace, limiting shot attempts for France and Wembanyama. The Spurs big man still put up 14 points and 12 boards in the loss to Germany, though he did it on a 45% field goal shooting. Wembanyama was also held down to 20% shooting in their win over Canada. Bet on Victor Wembanyama to score UNDER 17.5 points, -115, at DraftKings.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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