Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4/5/25 09:30
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Freiburg to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Bundesliga Picks

We're back in the Bundesliga on Saturday, when six games take place. One of those six games will be played at Europa-Park Stadion, the home of Freiburg, who are trying to break into the all important top six following that rather disappointing home defeat to Union Berlin last weekend. Despite being sizable favorites to come out on top last time out, Julian Schuster's men struggled, leading half way through the first half but still coming up short. Fortunately, in games of this nature, they've often thrived, especially on the break. 

It was a return to winning ways for BVB last weekend, but to say that the men in yellow have turned a corner would be wrong. After all, consistency has not been their thing this season. In fact, it's always been one step forward, two steps back. Away from home, it's been a real struggle for the team trying to reach a second consecutive UEFA Champions League final. Will we see them disappoint again on Saturday? 

Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Freiburg
Freiburg
42 27 12 6 9 -3
10
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
38 27 11 5 11 6

Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Latest matches
W D D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Freiburg
1 :  2
Karlsruher

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

Mar 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

Feb 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Union Berlin

Mar 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Freiburg
1 :  2
Karlsruher

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

Feb 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
L L W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

Feb 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Freiburg

Jan 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
W D L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
L D W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Stuttgart
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Freiburg against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

0 %

Draw

0 %

Borussia Dortmund

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.83
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
4
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Nov 23, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

Feb 9, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Freiburg

Sep 16, 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 4, 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Freiburg

Aug 12, 2022 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Jan 14, 2022 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund v Freiburg last Lineups

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
25
K. Sildillia
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
30
C. Gunter
42
R. Doan
8
M. Eggestein
6
P. Osterhage
32
V. Grifo
9
L. Holer
38
M. Gregoritsch
14
M. Beier
27
K. Adeyemi
10
J. Brandt
26
J. Ryerson
13
P. Gross
6
S. Ozcan
2
Y. Couto
4
N. Schlotterbeck
23
E. Can
3
W. Anton
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

M. Rohl

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

D. Svensson

Midfielder

F. Nmecha

M. Sabitzer

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (24 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (9 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga

Freiburg
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
44%
Victories
41%
22%
Draw
19%
33%
Defeats
41%
2.85
Total goals per match
3.33
1.37
Goals scored per match
1.78
1.48
Goals conceded per match
1.56
63%
Over 2.5
63%
37%
Under 2.5
37%
48%
BTTS
67%
37%
No goals conceded
19%

Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. In their most recent away games, the visitors conceded two goals.
  2. The visitors have also conceded two or more goals in two of their last three on the road.
  3. The hosts have scored multiple goals at home to several teams not dissimilar to Dortmund this season.
  4. The hosts have also scored an average of 1.92 goals per home game during the current Bundesliga campaign.

Our Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Despite their rather glaringly obvious struggles on the road, the men in yellow continued to be priced like a top team. Right now, they are not a top team, especially on the road, so there's once again value in betting against them. On this occasion, the value lies with betting on the hosts to score at least two goals. We know that the Freiburg boys can shift through the gears at home, while the visitors continue to flounder defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in recent away games against Kiel, Frankfurt, Bochum and Leipzig. Our Freiburg vs Dortmund Pick: Freiburg to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Freiburg to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Picks