Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1/25/25 09:30
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+105
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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

 by Carlos Zabala | in Bundesliga Picks

After losing to Feyenoord 0-3 in Rotterdam, Bayern Munich will have to turn their attention back to the Bundesliga, and they will do so in order to maintain their 4-point lead over Bayer Leverkusen. They will do so just 3 days after their Champions League game when they visit Freiburg at the Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday.

Bayern Munich have not lost to Freiburg since 2015, but the last time they visited them in 2024 they drew 2-2 with a goal from Musiala. Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga had an excellent start to January, winning all 4 league games, two of them by a difference of more than two goals.

Freiburg will return home after a pair of away games that they lost and where they allowed 4 goals in each, first against Frankfurt and then against Stuttgart. The last one was a particularly bad game where they only produced 0.32 xG against Stuttgart at the MPHArena and did not register a single shot on goal. However, Freiburg are strong at home and with 19 points in that condition they are the 6th in the Bundesliga with a goal difference at home of +6 in 8 games.

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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
45 18 14 3 1 41
8
Freiburg
Freiburg
27 18 8 3 7 -9

Freiburg and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Latest matches
D W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Freiburg

Jan 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Freiburg

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Holstein Kiel

Dec 21, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
5 :  1
Freiburg

Dec 13, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

Dec 8, 2024 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  1
Freiburg
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Holstein Kiel

Dec 13, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

Nov 30, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Nov 3, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Oct 30, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Freiburg
2 :  1
Hamburg

Oct 19, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  1
Augsburg
L L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Freiburg

Jan 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Freiburg

Dec 21, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
5 :  1
Freiburg

Dec 8, 2024 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  1
Freiburg

Dec 3, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Arminia Bielefeld
3 :  1
Freiburg

Nov 23, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

Jan 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Hoffenheim

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

Jan 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg
0 :  6
Bayern Munich

Dec 20, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Leipzig
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

Jan 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Hoffenheim

Dec 20, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Leipzig

Dec 7, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  2
Heidenheim

Dec 3, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 26, 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
PSG
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

Jan 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg
0 :  6
Bayern Munich

Dec 14, 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

Dec 10, 2024 - Champions League

Shakhtar Donetsk
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

Nov 30, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Freiburg against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

17 %

Draw

17 %

Bayern Munich

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Sep 1, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Freiburg

Mar 1, 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Oct 8, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 8, 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

Apr 4, 2023 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Freiburg

Oct 16, 2022 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Freiburg

Bayern Munich v Freiburg last Lineups

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
F. Muller
17
L. Kubler
28
M. Ginter
37
M. Rosenfelder
30
C. Gunter
8
M. Eggestein
6
P. Osterhage
42
R. Doan
34
M. Rohl
32
V. Grifo
20
J. Adamu
9
H. Kane
11
K. Coman
42
J. Musiala
17
M. Olise
8
L. Goretzka
6
J. Kimmich
19
A. Davies
3
K. Min-jae
2
D. Upamecano
27
K. Laimer
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

M. Gulde

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

D. Peretz

Defender

H. Ito

S. Boey

Midfielder

J. Palhinha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (22 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (8 Assists)
Best assists
England H. Kane (10 Assists)

Freiburg and Bayern Munich Stats in Bundesliga

Freiburg
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
44%
Victories
78%
17%
Draw
17%
39%
Defeats
6%
3.28
Total goals per match
3.94
1.39
Goals scored per match
3.11
1.89
Goals conceded per match
0.83
72%
Over 2.5
72%
28%
Under 2.5
28%
56%
BTTS
50%
22%
No goals conceded
50%

Freiburg - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Kane leads Bayern Munich and Freiburg in goals with 16
  2. Freiburg's last 5 games have generated over 3.5 goals in total
  3. Freiburg did not create any "big chances" against Stuttgart
  4. Bayern Munich generated 2.42 xG in their last loss against Feyenoord
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Our Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Incredibly in the Netherlands for Kompany's team to generate 2.42 xG, having 80% possession, 30 shots and 13 corners was not enough to score a single goal. They will have the chance to get even with Freiburg, who have conceded at least twice in the last three meetings between them. Bayern also showed a certain defensive disorganization against Feyenoord, especially when they retreat after attacking with many men, and Freiburg could well capitalize on a similar mistake on Saturday. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Freiburg is: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+105
$200 offered for betting!

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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Freiburg - Bayern Munich! 

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