Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 22 Argentina
Francisco Cerundolo
4/9/25 07:55
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Francisco Cerundolo +1.5 Set Handicap

+105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks

There's a big match taking place at the Monte-Carlo Masters on Wednesday, which will take place quite early in the morning for most US viewers. Francisco Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz go head-to-head for the fourth time (competitively) in a clash between Argentina and Spain. The Argentine, who recently performed very well in Miami, beating some top players like Tommy Paul and Casper Ruud, looked good in the first round, adapting well to the rather slow clay courts that this tournament has to offer. Alcaraz is a top player, but Cerundolo knows how to tussle with the big boys, so don't be surprised if we see a confident approach taken by the man now ranked 22nd in the world. 

For the world number three, it's been a tricky few weeks. On a much quicker hard surface, Alcaraz beat Cerundolo in Indian Wells last month, but he's since dropped off a bit, losing to James Draper in the final of that event, before exiting the action in Miami at the first attempt, losing to the much lower-ranked David Goffin. This will now be his first competitive clay-court match of the season. The Spaniard has only played this tournament once before, losing at the first attempt to Sebastian Korda back in 2022. Will he do better this time around? 

Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Francisco Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Francisco Cerundolo Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Fabio Fognini
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Mar 26, 2025 - ATP Miami

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Alexandre Muller

Mar 13, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

David Goffin
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 15, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Jack Draper
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 13, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 12, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Grigor Dimitrov
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 8, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Quentin Halys
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Francisco Cerundolo against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Francisco Cerundolo

0 %

Carlos Alcaraz

100 %

Mar 13, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo
Compare Francisco Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. When the pair last met on clay, Francisco Cerundolo came out on top.
  2. Francisco Cerundolo has never lost to Carlos Alcaraz on clay.
  3. Francisco Cerundolo has a fantastic recent record against the top players.
  4. Francisco Cerundolo has the benefit of having played in the first round, getting used to the courts in Monte Carlo.

Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

At the end of the day, we all know what Carlos Alcaraz is capable of on a clay court, but he hasn't exactly shown a clear preference for the courts in Monte Carlo, playing in the this tournament just once before, and not doing very well either. Moreover, he comes into this match off the back of some poor results, while he hasn't played competitively on clay yet in 2025. Factor in that Cerundolo has had a match on these courts already, coupled with the fact that he's in great form in general, especially against top players, and the Argentine simply looks more likely to, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat against the world number three. Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Pick: Francisco Cerundolo +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Francisco Cerundolo +1.5 Set Handicap

+105
$1500 offered for betting!

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Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks