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ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 26 Argentina
Francisco Cerundolo
3/12/25 14:10
ATP 10 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+190
$150 offered for betting!

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Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Indian Wells Picks

On Wednesday, during the early afternoon for most US viewers, there's an intriguing contest taking place at the ATP event in Indian Wells, officially known as the BNP Paribas Open. We'll see Francisco Cerundolo take on Alex De Minaur, and not for the first time in 2025, with the pair meeting at the Australian Open back in January. 

Since losing to De Minaur at the Aussie Open a couple of months ago, the Argentine has done quite well, reaching the final of a clay-court event in Buenos Aires back in February, before winning four out of six further clay-court matches in Brazil and Chile. Such form has clearly given him a platform to do well on US soil, despite the switch back to hard courts, which seemingly hasn't had a negative effect. After a straight-set win during the previous round, Cerundolo, now ranked 26th in the world, will likely fancy himself to make life tough for his Australian opponent, who hasn't always been at his best against lower-ranked opponents in recent weeks, losing (in three sets) to veteran Marin Cilic in Dubai recently. An interesting match awaits. 

Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Form

Francisco Cerundolo and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Francisco Cerundolo Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Botic Van De Zandschulp
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Mar 8, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Mackenzie Mcdonald
1 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Mar 1, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Laslo Djere

Feb 28, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  1
Yannick Hanfmann

Feb 21, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alexandre Muller
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Mar 8, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

David Goffin
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Feb 25, 2025 - ATP Dubai Open

Marin Cilic
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Feb 20, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Feb 19, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Feb 18, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Roman Safiullin
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Francisco Cerundolo against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Jan 17, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  3
Alex De Minaur
Compare Francisco Cerundolo and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. This will be the second time that the pair have met in 2025.
  2. When the pair faced off at the Aussie Open in January, the match went beyond the minimum number of sets.
  3. When things start to get serious at this tournament, De Minuar has a habit of being involved in tight three-set matches.
  4. Four of Cerundolo's last five matches have contained three sets.

Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Alex De Minaur is now very much a top player, and he's absolutely a worthy favorite here, but Francisco Cerundolo is no slouch, while he certainly pushed De Minaur at the Aussie Open, not just winning one set, but forcing a tie break in another set too. Also, let's be honest, when it comes to this stage of the Indian Wells event, De Minaur has a habit of being involved in three-set matches, doing so against the likesof Zverev, Fritz and Tsitsipas in recent seasons. Against a thriving Cerundolo, even if the Aussie confirms favoritism, it may not be straightforward, so a bet on the match going the distance is warranted, especially as odds of +190 look a little generous. Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Pick: Over 2.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+190
$150 offered for betting!

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Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Picks